View PDF of the conference program

(Note: Mac users may need Flip4Mac (http://www.telestream.net/flip4mac-wmv/overview.htm) to view the .wmv files on a Mac.

On This Page:

Day 1 Morning Plenary
8:30 am - 12:30 pm / Room 120

Introductory Session

8:30-8:45

Welcome and Introduction
Amy Snover, Climate Impacts Group, and Nicholas Bond, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean
Presentation | Presentation with audio

8:45-9:15

Stressors on Steroids: Climate Change, Land-Use Change, Disturbance Regimes and the Future of Western Ecosystems -- Lisa Graumlich, Dean, UW College of the Environment (invited talk)
Abstract | Presentation (note: large file) | Presentation with audio

9:15-9:20 Video welcome from Deputy Secretary David J. Hayes, U.S. Department of the Interior
Bio

9:20-10:15

Special Session: National Climate Partnerships in the Pacific Northwest -- Mary Mahaffy, North Pacific Landscape Conservation Cooperative; Sean Finn, Great Northern Landscape Conservation Cooperative; Kevin Whalen, Pacific Northwest Climate Science Center; Phil Mote, Climate Decision Support Consortium; and Chris Lauver, Pacific Northwest Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

10:15-10:45

Break

Glimpse of Concurrent Sessions

10:45-11:05

Ocean Acidification in Puget Sound: Recent Observations on Water Chemistry and Implications for Larval Oyster Success -- Jan Newton, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

11:05-11:25

Defining and Evaluating Water Management System Flexibility, Adaptive Capacity, and of the Relationship Between These Concepts -- Kara DiFrancesco, Oregon State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

11:25-11:45

Current Evidence for Tree Species' Migration in the Pacific Coastal United States -- Heather Lintz, Oregon State University
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

11:45-12:05

Regional Climate Model Results for Climate Impacts Applications -- Eric Salathé, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

12:05-12:15 Additional Q&A

12:15-12:30

Special Recognition Ceremony for Ed Miles, Professor Emeritus, UW School of Marine Affairs and former Director of the UW Climate Impacts Group
Special guest: Ron Sims, former King County Executive and former Deputy Secretary of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development
(audio of ceremony)

12:30-1:30

Lunch (provided)

Day 1 - Concurrent Session A
Marine and Aquatic Ecosystems
1:30 pm - 5:20 pm / Room 120

Climate Impacts on Marine and Aquatic Ecosystems and Managed Resources

1:30-1:50

Modeling the Effects of Sea-Level Rise on Coastal Systems: Choosing the Right Tool for the Job -- John Rybczyk, Western Washington University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

1:50-2:10

Estuarine Wetland Responses to Sea Level Rise and Climate Change -- Laura Brophy, Institute for Applied Ecology
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:10-2:30

A Hot Columbia Drives Evolutionary and Plastic Shifts in Sockeye Salmon Migration Timing -- Lisa Crozier, NOAA Fisheries
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:30-2:50

Juvenile Salmon, Dams, and Climate Change: Implications of Hydrological Alterations on Fish Passage at Dams in the Cascade Mountains -- Tobias Kock, U.S. Geological Survey
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:50-3:20

Break

3:20-5:20

Special Session - Climate, Coasts, and Estuaries: What Do We Know About the Physical and Biophysical Processes and What Might the Future Hold? Stephanie Moore, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center
Abstract | Presentation

•  Variations in Source Waters Which Feed the California Current May Be the Mechanism Which Links the PDO and Climate Change With Ecosystem Response -- Bill Peterson, NOAA Fisheries
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

• Changes in Source-Water Properties of the California Current in Response to Large-Scale Climate Processes -- Ryan Rykaczewski, Oregon State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

• Observed Coastal Chlorophyll Anomalies During 1997-2010 -- Todd Mitchell, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

•  Future Scenarios for Environmental Conditions Favoring the Accumulation of Paralytic Shellfish Toxins in Puget Sound Shellfish -- Stephanie Moore, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center
Abstract

•  Panel Discussion -- Moderated by Nate Mantua, UW Climate Impacts Group (Audio of panel discussion)

Related Special Session posters (and poster number):
  • (P36) The Role of Slope Currents in Determining the Chemistry of Upwelling Source Waters: Seasonal Oxygen Variation in the Pacific Northwest (Siedlecki)
    Abstract
  • (P37) Extreme Summer Circulation and Climate Anomalies in the Coastal Pacific Northwest in 2010 (Johnstone)
    Abstract
  • (P38) Effect of Climate Change on Temperature and Salinity in the Yaquina Estuary, Oregon (USA) (Brown)
    Abstract
  • (P39) Observing Climate Influenced Variation in Puget Sound Marine Waters (Newton) 
    Abstract
  • (P40) High-Resolution Gridded Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Data for Alaska (Hill)
    Abstract

Day 1 - Concurrent Session B
Vulnerability Assessment, Adaptation Planning and Human Responses to Climate Change
1:30 pm - 5:20 pm / Room 110

Methods of Vulnerability Assessment/Adaptation Planning

1:30-1:50

An Ecosystems-Based Approach to Evaluating Climate Change Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability -- Ann Radil, Parametrix
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

1:50-2:10

Assessing the Vulnerability of Four West Coast Fisheries to Climate Change -- Lara Whitely Binder, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:10-2:30

Scenario Planning for Climate Adaptation -- Jennifer Marlow, Three Degrees Project
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

2:30-2:50

Making Climate Change Data Easy to Find & Work With -- Michael Corsello, Corsello Research Foundation and Seshu Vaddey, USACE - Portland District
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:50-3:20

Break

Human Responses & Policy Initiatives

3:20-3:40

Bridging the Gap between Climate Impacts Research and Regional Policy Makers and Actors -- Stacy Vynne, The Resource Innovation Group--Climate Leadership Initiative
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

3:40-4:00

Preparing Washington for a Changing Climate -- Hedia Adelsman, Washington Department of Ecology
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

4:00-4:20

Climate Change and the Puget Sound: Building the Legal Framework for Adaptation -- Yee Huang, The Center for Progressive Reform
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

4:20-4:40

Incorporating Climate Change Adaptation in EPA Region 10 Programs: An Example Based on a Newly Initiated Pilot in the Office of Water and Watershed's Total Maximum Daily Load Program -- David Croxton, EPA Region 10 (presenting for Bruce Duncan)
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

4:40-5:00

Synthesizing and Integrating Regional Climate Projections into a Local Government Framework: The Climate Impacts Decision Support Tool -- Spencer Reeder, Cascadia Consulting Group
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

5:00-5:20

Seattle RainWatch and Enhanced Weather Forecasting as Climate Adaptation -- James Rufo Hill, Seattle Public Utilities
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

Poster Session and Reception
5:30 pm - 7:30 pm / Meany Hall

 

Day 2 Morning Plenary
8:00 am 9:00 am / Room 120

8:00-8:30

 

What Have We Learned About Developing Climate Information for Vulnerability Assessment, Impacts Analysis, and Adaptation Planning? -- Jeremy Littell, University of Washington (invited  talk)
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

8:30-8:55

Update on the U.S. National Assessment -- T.C. Richmond, Gordon Derr LLP and Fred Lipschultz, Senior Scientist for the National Climate Assessment
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

Day 2 - Concurrent Session C
Hydrology and Freshwater Resources
9:00 am 12:30 pm / Room 120

Climate Impacts on Hydrology and Freshwater Systems and Managed Resources

9:00-9:20

Unlocking Water Markets in the Yakima Basin: An Experimental Approach -- Sergey Rabotyagov, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

9:20-9:40

Addressing Stakeholder Needs by Linking Physical and Biological Models to Predict Effects of Climate Change in the Yakima River Basin -- Alec Maule, USGS Columbia River Research Laboratory
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

9:40-10:00

Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Columbia River Basin Agriculture Through Integrated Crop Systems, Hydrologic, and Water Management Modeling -- Keyvan Malek, Washington State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

10:00-10:30

Break

10:30-10:50

Application of System Dynamics to Sustainable Water Resources Management in the Eastern Snake Plain Aquifer -- Jae Ryu, University of Idaho
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

10:50-11:10

Water Resource Vulnerability in the Columbia River Basin -- Il Won Jung, Portland State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

11:10-11:30

Sensitivity of Runoff to Climate Change and Land Cover Change in the Willamette River Basin of Oregon -- Heejun Chang, Portland State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

11:30-11:50

Effects of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Olympic National Forest and Park -- Ingrid Tohver, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

11:50-12:10

Effects of Climate Change on Natural and Regulated Flood Risks in the Skagit River Basin and Prospects for Adaptation -- Se-Yeun Lee, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

12:10-12:30

Modeling Spatiotemporal Nonstationarity in Urban Water Demand Under Climate Change Scenarios -- Betsy Breyer, Portland State University
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

12:30-1:30

Lunch (provided)
Optional National Climate Assessment Information Session, The Forum, Parrington Hall

Day 2 - Concurrent Session D
Terrestrial Ecosystems
9:00 am 12:30 pm / Room 110

Climate Impacts on Terrestrial Ecosystems & Managed Resources

9:00-9:20

Experimental Warming and Precipitation Effects on Plant Community Composition, Productivity, and Soil Respiration in Restored Pacific Northwest Prairies along a Natural Climate Gradient -- Scott Bridgham, University of Oregon
Abstract

9:20-9:40

Natural and Experimental Climatic Effects on Native Prairie Plant Range Distributions in the Pacific Northwest -- Laurel Pfeifer-Meister, University of Oregon
Abstract | Presentation (PDF) | Presentation with audio

9:40-10:00

Wolverine Range, Climatic Requirements, and the Likely Effects of Climate Change on Wolverine Distribution -- Kevin McKelvey, USDA Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

10:00-10:30

Break

10:30-12:30

Special Session: Vulnerability Assessments and Adaptation Planning for Natural Resource Management in the PNW -- Crystal Raymond, USFS, PNW Research Station
Abstract

•  Climate Change and Forest Biodiversity: A Vulnerability Assessment and Action Plan for National Forests in Western Washington- - Warren Devine, Consultant
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

•  How the Washington Wildlife Habitat Connectivity Working Group is Planning For Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest -- Brad H. McRae, The Nature Conservancy (Washington State)
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

•  North Cascadia Adaptation Partnership Preparing for Climate Change Through Science-Management Collaboration - Crystal Raymond, USFS PNW Research Station
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

•  Framing Adaptation at the State Level: The Oregon Climate Change Adaptation Framework - Jeffrey Weber, Oregon Dept. of Land Conservation and Development
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

  Panel Discussion - Joanna Ekrem (Washington Dept. of Ecology), Brad McRae, Crystal Raymond, and Jeffrey Weber (panel discussion questions | panel discussion audio)

Related Special Session posters (and poster number):

  • (P58) Creating a Blueprint for Climate-Informed Conservation in the Pacific Northwest - Jessi Kershner, EcoAdapt
    Abstract

12:30-1:30

Lunch (provided)
Optional National Climate Assessment Information Session, The Forum, Parrington Hall

Day 2 **Optional** Lunch Session
12:30 - 1:30 pm / Parrington Hall, The Forum Room

12:30-1:30

National Climate Assessment Information Session -- Conference participants are invited to bring their box lunch (provided) to an optional information session on the U.S. National Assessment (map to Parrington)

Day 2 - Afternoon Plenary
1:30 pm 5:00 pm

Trends and Extremes in PNW Climate, Past and Future

1:30-2:00

Detection and Attribution of Causes of Extreme Events -- Francis Zwiers, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (invited talk)
Abstract | Presentation (pdf) | Presentation with audio

2:00-2:20

The Role of the Pacific North American Pattern on the Pace of Future Winter Warming Across Western North America -- John Abatzaglou, University of Idaho
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:20-2:40

La Niña Impacts on Pacific Northwest Climate in Spring: 2011 and the Historical Record -- James Johnstone, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

2:40-3:00

Decadal Trends in Extreme Precipitation, Winds, and Snowpack -- Clifford Mass, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

3:00-3:30

Break

3:30-3:50

Precipitation Extremes in the Western U.S. Urban Areas: How Reliable Are the Regional Climate Model Projections? -- Vimal Mishra, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

3:50-4:10

Estimates of Changing Flood Risk in the 21st Century Pacific Northwest Based on Regional Scale Climate Model Simulations -- Alan F. Hamlet, University of Washington
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

4:10-4:40

IPCC AR5 and Implications for Regional Decision Making -- Trevor Murdock, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium (invited talk)
Abstract | Presentation | Presentation with audio

4:40-5:00

Conference Close

Poster Session & Reception
Tuesday, 5:30-7:30 pm, Meany Hall
Grouped by Topic

PNW Climate

P1

New Tree-Ring Reconstructions of Summer Temperature, Winter Precipitation, and Streamflow in the Pacific Northwest
Jeremy Littell, University of Washington

P2

A High-Resolution Meteorological Dataset for Western North America: Development and Validation
Guillaume Mauger, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P3

Regional Model Outputs for the Pacific Northwest and Comparison with North American Regional Reanalysis Data
Ahmed Salahuddin, Oregon State University

Changes in Extremes

P4

Extreme Precipitation Variability Over the Willamette River Basin as Simulated by Dynamically Downscaled Climate Scenarios
Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University

P5

Historical Analysis of Pacific Northwest Heat Waves
Karin Bumbaco, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P6

Wintertime Extreme Precipitation Events Along the Pacific Northwest Coast: Climatology and Synoptic Evolution
Michael Warner, University of Washington

P7

Diagnosis of Changing Cool Season Precipitation Statistics in the Western U.S. from 1916-2003
Joe Hamman, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P8

Validating the Downscaling of Climdex Extremes for Multiple Methods
Stephen Sobie, Pacific Climate Impacts Consortium

Hydrology & Freshwater Systems

P9

Application of Regional Climate Model Information for Climate Change Hazards Mapping Over Oregon
Roberto Mera, Oregon State University (poster PDF)

P10

Hydrologic Sensitivities to a Warming Climate in the Columbia River Basin
Julie Vano, University of Washington

P11

Climate and Landscape Predictors of Stream Temperature in the Columbia River Basin
Heejun Chang, Portland State University

P12

Influence of Climate Signals on 2011 Water Supply Forecasts at Dworshak, ID and Libby, MT
Randal Wortman, US Army Corps of Engineers (poster PDF)

P14

Coupling Groundwater and Snowpack Dynamics to Predict Future Streamflow Regimes in the Pacific Northwest
Gordon Grant, USDA Forest Service, PNW Research Station

P15

BCSD CMIP3 Hydroclimate Projections for the Western United States
Levi Brekke, Bureau of Reclamation (poster PDF)

P16

Responding to Evolving Stakeholder Needs for 21st Century Hydrologic Scenarios: An Overview of the Pacific Northwest/Columbia River Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project
Alan Hamlet, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P17

Analysis of Uncertainty in Hydrologic Climate Change Impact Studies Using Bayesian Multi-Modeling
Hamid Moradkhani, Portland State University

P18

Three Energy and Water Balance Flux Sites in Southern Idaho to Better Understand Natural Vegetation
Richard Allen, University of Idaho

Air Quality

P19

Atmospheric Circulation Patterns Associated with Episodes of Fine Particulate (PM2.5) Pollution in the Pacific Northwest
Nicholas Bond, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P20

Methodology to Assess Forest Fire Impacts on Air Quality and Human Health in Washington State
Angel Ip, University of Washington (poster PDF)

Terrestrial Ecosystems

P21

Combined Impacts of Climate Change and Urbanization on Ecosystem Services in a Metropolitan Fringe
Heejun Chang, Portland State University

P22

Regional Climate and Hydrologic Change:  Internally Consistent Projections of Future Climate for Resource Management
Jeremy Littell, University of Washington

P23

Introduction of a New Earth System Modeling Framework for Understanding Biogeochemical Cycling in the Pacific Northwest: BioEarth Overview and Initial Nitrogen Deposition Analyses
Serena Chung, Washington State University (poster PDF)

P24

The Effects of Soil Moisture Stress on Forest Recovery in the Entiat River Basin after Stand Replacing Fire
Marketa McGuire Elsner, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P25

Increased Experimental Heating Decreases Arbuscular Mycorrhizal Abundance Across a Latitudinal Gradient in an Annual Prairie Forb
Hannah Wilson, University of Oregon

P26

The Response of Soil Respiration to Simulated Climate Change Along a Latitudinal Climate Gradient in Pacific Northwest Prairies
Lorien Reynolds, University of Oregon

P27

Carbon Sequestration on Pacific Northwest Rangelands
Seth Wiggins, Oregon State University

Terrestrial Ecosystems Special Session: Vulnerability Assessments and Adaptation Planning for Natural Resource Management in the PNW

P58

Creating a Blueprint for Climate-Informed Conservation in the Pacific Northwest  
Jessi Kershner, EcoAdapt (poster PDF)

Marine, Aquatic and Coastal Ecosystems

P31

Assessing the Vulnerability of West Coast Fisheries to a Changing Climate: Climate Impacts on the Pacific Whiting Fishery
Kara Cardinal, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P32

Effects of Climate Change on Oregon Coast Coho Salmon: Habitat and Life-Cycle Interactions
Thomas Wainwright, NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center (poster PDF)

P33

Temperature Effects on the Lifecycle of the Salmonid Parasite Ceratomyxa Shasta
Luciano Chiaramonte, Oregon State University

P34

Potential Effects of Increasing Water Temperature on Growth and Migration Timing of Juvenile Chinook Salmon Inhabiting Oregon Coastal Habitats
Jose Marin Jarrin, Oregon State University (poster PDF)

Marine and Aquatic Special Session: Climate, Coasts & Estuaries: What Do We Know About the Physical and Biophysical Processes and What Might the Future Hold?

P36

The Role of Slope Currents in Determining the Chemistry of Upwelling Source Waters: Seasonal Oxygen Variation in the Pacific Northwest
Samantha Siedlecki, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean

P37

Extreme Summer Circulation and Climate Anomalies in the Coastal Pacific Northwest in 2010
James Johnstone, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean

P38

Effect of Climate Change on Temperature and Salinity in the Yaquina Estuary, Oregon (USA)
Cheryl Brown, US EPA

P39

Observing Climate Influenced Variation in Puget Sound Marine Waters
Jan Newton, University of Washington

Sea Level Rise / Coastal Impacts

P41

A Linear Regression Model for Predicting PNW Estuarine Temperatures in a Changing Climate
Meredith Payne, USGS/Oregon State University

P42

City of Olympia--Responding to Sea Level Rise
Andy Haub, City of Olympia (poster PDF)

P43

NOAA's Climate Assessment and Proactive Response Initiative Puget Sound Pilot
Robert Neely, NOAA Office of Response and Restoration (poster PDF)

P44

Planning for Rising Sea Level in Washington: Providing Tools and Guidance for Local Governments
Kate Skaggs, Washington Department of Ecology/NOAA (poster PDF)

P44a

Resilient and At Risk Nearshore Habitats of San Juan County, Washington
Andrea MacLennan, Coastal Geologic Services

P45

Preparing for Rising Tides: Coastal Hazard Risk Perceptions and Support for Sea Level Rise Adaptation in Washington
Hilary Papendick, University of Washington (poster PDF)

P59

Rising Seas and Raising Dikes: BC's Proposed Sea Dike and Coastal Development Guidelines
Tina Neale, BC Ministry of Environment

Assessing Impacts & Preparing for Change

P49

Climate Adaptation Knowledge Exchange (CAKE): Your Online Adaptation Destination
Eric Mielbrecht, EcoAdapt (poster PDF)

P50

National Conference on Climate Change Adaptation
Lara Hansen, EcoAdapt (poster PDF)

P51

Getting Climate Savvy
Lara Hansen, EcoAdapt

P52

Enhancing Ecosystem Services in Stream and Riparian Areas of the Interior Pacific Northwest in the Face of Climate Change and Land Use Intensification: An Overview
David Wooster, Oregon State University (for Sandra DeBano) (poster)

P53

Using the Pacific Northwest Cooperative Ecosystem Studies Unit (PNW CESU) to Conduct Climate Change Projects
Chris Lauver, National Park Service

Communication

P54

Effectively Mapping Climate Impacts: Cartography, Simplified, for the GIS Analyst
Rob Norheim, University of Washington/US Forest Service (poster PDF | handout)

P56

Understanding and Communicating the Local Effects of Climate Change and Social-Ecological Vulnerability: Enhancing Resilience Within Forests of the U.S. Northern Rockies
Jarod Blades, University of Idaho (poster PDF)

P57

Now What Do People Know About Global Climate Change?   A Mental Models Study in Seattle, Washington
Ann Bostrom, University of Washington

P60

Enhancing Collaborative Communication in Translational Climate Science
Michael O'Rourke, University of Idaho; Liela Rotschy, Ohio State University; Chris Looney, Washington Department of Agriculture; and Shannon Donovan, University of Alaska, Anchorage (poster PDF)

Questions?
For more information, please contact
Lara Whitely Binder, UW Climate Impacts Group, 206-616-5349