Thursday, May 10, 2007
The Pacific Northwest Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM) Project
The National Wildlife Federation has recently completed the most comprehensive and detailed analysis to date of the potential impacts of sea-level rise on the region's coastal habitats, with a specific focus on key areas of Puget Sound, the southwestern Washington coast, and the northwestern Oregon coast. The purpose of this project is to provide science-based information to coastal managers and other relevant decision makers in the region to help them take sea-level rise into consideration in the ongoing efforts to protect and restore the region's important nearshore habitats. We engaged sea-level rise expert Jonathan Clough, of Warren Pinnacle Consulting, Inc., to apply the Sea Level Affecting Marshes Model (SLAMM), which simulates the dominant processes involved in wetland conversions and shoreline modifications during long-term sea-level rise. We looked at a range of scenarios based on 2001 IPCC projections, from a mean 3.0 inch rise in global sea level by 2025 to a max 27.3 inch rise by 2100. We also looked at results for a 1 meter, 1.5 meter, and 2 meter rise by 2100 to accommodate for recent studies that suggest that sea-level rise may be occurring much more rapidly. This seminar will provide an overview of the model and highlight some of our results. A full, published report on the issue will be forthcoming.
Patricia Glick is Senior Global Warming Specialist at the National Wildlife Federation (NWF). She has been dedicated to the issue of climate change for more than 16 years and has played an important role in educating a diverse constituency of Americans about the issue, as well as developing and promoting meaningful policy solutions. For the past nine years, Ms. Glick has been instrumental in helping the National Wildlife Federation (NWF) build a targeted grassroots global warming campaign, recognizing the critical importance of bringing the issue of global warming "home" to Americans in order to galvanize them toward action. Much of her work has focused on translating the science of global warming and its impacts on fish and wildlife into creative and understandable outreach tools. In addition, Ms. Glick conducts presentations and works closely with the media to help communicate the issue to stakeholders and the public.
Prior to joining NWF, Ms. Glick served two years as a Senior Fellow for the Sierra Club in Washington , D.C., where she worked with the Club's Global Warming and Energy Program to study the economic and social costs of climate change around the world. She has also conducted policy-related analysis of U.S. energy markets for The Alliance to Save Energy and worked as a transportation and energy economist for the Montana Department of Natural Resources and Conservation. Ms. Glick received an M.S. degree in economics from the University of North Carolina in Chapel Hill and a B.A. from Sweet Briar College in Virginia.