Washington Water Outlook
March 21, 2005
The 2005 snowpack is unfolding as one of the worst in the past 50 years in the Washington Cascades and Olympics, with potentially serious consequences for a variety of needs.
A special workshop sponsored by the University of Washington Climate Impacts Group will outline how we got to where we are, and what is likely to happen next. Recent developments in streamflow forecasting by scientists at UW, the National Resources Conservation Service, and the National Weather Service provides state-of-the-science ensemble (probabilistic) predictions of streamflow for lead times of six months and longer. In addition to evaluating how bad the year's flows will be, the workshop will include a description of the climatic conditions that led to this situation and the likelihood of a reprise. Agency experts will discuss the implications of the evolving drought for the region's water resources and salmon. Open discussions will follow each talk.
Who should attend
Water resource managers, hydropower interests, fisheries biologists, environmental and science reporters, and others interested in the state's water outlook.
|10:30||Dennis Lettenmaier, UW||Welcome|
|10:35||Nathan Mantua, UW||Climatic perspectives on 2005|
|11:10||Phil Pasteris, NRCS||Perspectives on 2004-05 from the NRCS National Water and Climate Center|
|11:45||Andy Wood, UW||Hydrologic outlook for the Northwest|
|12:05||Lunch: Boxed lunches available in NOAA cafeteria|
|12:35||Optional Lunchtime Talk - Philip Mote, UW||Declining snowpack in western US, cover article in Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society|
|1:00||Steve King, NWRFC||Streamflow outlook from National Weather Service River Forecast Center|
|1:20||Matt Wiley, UW||Implications of 2005 conditions for water supplies in Puget Sound|
|1:40||Chris Lynch, USBR||Balancing needs for agriculture, fish flows, and M+I in the Yakima Valley during a drought, Supplemental material|
|2:00||John Easterbrooks, WDFW||Consequences of this year’s low flows for aquatic species, south-central Washington|
|2:20||Dave Seiler, WDFW||Consequences for aquatic species, Puget Sound region|
Boxed lunches including sandwich, chips, cookie, fruit and drink will be available for $9.00 (payable at the seminar) and must be pre-ordered with your registration. Making a lunch selection with your registration commits you to pay for the lunch, so please tell us if you change your mind and cannot come. You can contact us at email@example.com. Sandwich choices are as follows:
- turkey and havarti
- ham and Swiss
- roast beef and cheddar
- herbed cream cheese
Registration is required but there is no charge. Attendance is limited. Please indicate your lunch preference with your registration.