following is a small sampling of papers, reports, and other documentation
on climate change and hydrologic impacts that have been written by
researchers involved in planning the April 30 meeting.
These documents are offered as background reading for the workshop;
they are not required. (To view PDF files, you need the Free
Adobe Acrobat Reader)
Climate Change Dynamics
P. 2001. Scientific assessment
of climate change: Global and regional scales. Preparatory
White Paper for Climate and Water Policy Meeting, Skamania, Washington,
16-17, 2001. (161k pdf)
a basic overview of climate change projections on the global and
regional scale for the Pacific Northwest.
Impacts of Climate Change
D.R., M.D. Dettinger, K.T. Redmond, G.J. McCabe, N. Knowles, and
D.H. Peterson. 2003. The Transboundary Setting of California's Water
and Hydropower Systems. Chapter 10 in H.F. Diaz and B. Morehouse
and Water: Transboundary Challenges in the Americas. Dordrecht:
Kluwer Academic Publishers (in press). (Sorry, no link
available to this paper. Copies are available
California's vulnerabilities to climate change as a result of the
regional scale of climate impacts and California's reliance
resources from an especially broad region for water and power.
D., S. Kammerdiener, M. Dettinger, J. Caprio, and D. Peterson. 2001. Changes
in the Onset of Spring in the Western United States. Bulletin
of the American Meteorlogical Society, Vol. 82, No. 3: 399-415. (1.1MB
Examines fluctuations in spring climate in the western United States over
the last four to five decades by examining changes in the blooming of plants
and timing of snowmelt runoff pulses.
A. F. 2001. Effects of
climate change on water resources in the Pacific Northwest: Impacts
and policy implications. Preparatory White Paper for Climate
and Water Policy Meeting, Skamania, Washington, July 16-17,
Provides a basic overview of climate change impacts on PNW water
resources. This paper was originally prepared for policy makers
and is a companion paper to Philip Mote's "Scientific Assessment of Climate
Change: Global and Regional Scales" (above).
• Hamlet, A.F., D.P. Lettenmaier. 1999. Effects of Climate
Change on Hydrology and
Water Resources in the Columbia River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources
(Sorry, no link available to this paper. Copies are available
Assesses the impact of climate change on the hydrology and water resources
of the Columbia River basin using four global climate models. Includes assessment
of the system's ability to meet regional water resources objectives.
A.F., D.P. Lettenmaier, and A.K. Snover. 2003. Climate
Change Streamflow Scenarios for Critical Period Water Planning
A Technical Methodology. To be submitted to Journal of the American
Water Resources Association (undergoing internal review)
Describes the web-based climate change streamflow scenarios tool under development
Climate Impacts Group. The tool will be discussed in the April 30 meeting.
I.T., D.R. Cayan, and M.D. Dettinger. 2003. Changes in Snowmelt Runoff
Timing in Western North America under a 'Business as Usual' Climate Change
Scenario. Submitted to Climatic Change, 3/27/03. (Sorry,
no link available to this paper. Copies are available
Uses Parallel Climate Model (PCM) simulations of the 1995-2099 climate under
a business-as-usual greenhouse gas emissions scenario to project likely responses
of snowmelt runoff timing in snowmelt-dominated rivers across western North America.
• Cohen, S.
and T. Kulkarni (2001). Water
Management & Climate Change in the Okanagan Basin. Environment
Canada & University of British Columbia: 75.
(Note: this is a large report - 2.61MB pdf).
Results of a study on the potential implications of climatic
change for the Okanagan region of British Columbia. The study specifically
set out to identify climate change impacts and possible adaptation strategies
for the Okanagan
region, and to test an approach for engaging resource managers and
regional stakeholders in research and dialogue on climate
change impacts and adaptation.
W.S., Y. Alila, M. Barton, B. Taylor, and S. Cohen. Exploring
Impacts of Climate Change on the Hydrology of the Okanagan Basin.
To be published in the Proceedings of the Canadian Water Resources
2003, Vancouver, British Columbia. (314k pdf)
Describes the methodology being used in developing
hydrologic scenarios for the BC
portion of the Okanagan Basin. Some scenario results using this methodology
should be available on April 30.
• Palmer, R.N. and M. Hahn. 2003. The
Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Portland, Oregon's Water
Supply (draft). (528k pdf)
Evaluates the impacts of climate change on municipal water supplies
using the City of Portland, Oregon and its Bull Run River watershed as
a case study. This paper is being prepared for submittal for publication.
J.T., A.W. Wood, A.F. Hamlet, R.N. Palmer, and D.P. Lettenmaier.
Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the
River basin, Climatic Change (in review).
Evaluates the potential effects of climate change on the hydrology
and water resources of the Columbia River Basin using
simulations from the U.S. Department of Energy and National
Center for Atmospheric Research Parallel Climate Model (DOE/NCAR
This paper, currently in review, is one of several papers prepared
as part of the Department of Energy's Accelerated Climate
• Knowles, N. and D.R. Cayan.
2002. Potential Effects of Global Warming on the Sacramento/San Joaquin
watershed and the San Francisco estuary. Geophysical Research Letters,
Vol. 29, No. 18, 1891, doi:10.1029/2001GL014339, 2002. (Sorry,
no link available to this paper. Copies are available
Uses the Parallel Climate Model (PCM) to assess climate change on snowpack
and streamflow in the Sacramento/San
watershed and water quality in the San Francisco estuary.
Rheenen, N.T., A.W. Wood, R.N. Palmer and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2002. Potential
Implications of PCM Climate Change Scenarios for Sacramento - San Joaquin
Basin Hydrology and Water Resources, Climatic Change (in review).
Evaluates the potential effects of climate change on water supply
and management in California's Sacramento and San
Basins using simulations from the U.S. Department of Energy
Research Parallel Climate Model (DOE/NCAR PCM). The paper also investigates
the impacts of
several different strategies to mitigate climate change impacts in the
region. The Van Rheenen et al. paper is one
of several papers prepared as part of the
of Energy's Accelerated Climate Prediction Initiative.
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