Climate Impacts on Salmon Management and Recovery:
Background Papers and Presentations

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Background Papers

The following papers were recommended background reading for the meeting. Please note that Mantua and Francis ("Natural climate insurance..."), Kates, and Schellnhuber papers were central to the discussion titled "A hypothesis on changes needed to integrate climate information into sustainable salmon management policies". All papers are in a PDF format.

More CIG publications on Pacific Northwest climate, hydrology, and aquatic ecosystems can be found here. Additional papers recommended by Randall Peterman are available here.


Presentations

Presentations are posted in PowerPoint (.ppt) format unless otherwise noted.

Time Title Presenter
8:30-9:00 Registration
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9:00-9:10 Welcome Ed Miles, CIG/UW School of Marine Affairs
9:10-9:50 Background:
The impacts of climate variability on Pacific Northwest climate and salmon (pdf)
Nate Mantua, CIG
9:50-10:30 Background:
What future for streamflow in the Pacific Northwest? The impact of climate change on Pacific Northwest climate and streamflow

Alan Hamlet, CIG/UW Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering

10:30-10:45 Break
10:45-11:15

Presentation:
Environmental relationships affecting Puget Sound and coastal salmon production

David Seiler, Washington Department of Fish and Wildlife

11:15-11:45

Presentation:
Environmental conditions, salmon survival rates, and evaluations of management models

*Additional papers recommended by Randall Peterman.

Randall Peterman, Simon Fraser University
11:45-12:00 General question/answer period Nate Mantua, CIG
12:00-1:00 Lunch
1:00-1:40

Case study: British Columbia
Impacts of climate variation and change events on salmon populations in southern British Columbia: Implications for conservation and restoration

Dr. Kim Hyatt, Fisheries and Oceans Canada
1:40-2:20

Case study: The Snohomish Basin (WA)
Modeling the effects of climate change on planned Chinook salmon habitat restoration actions in the Snohomish River Basin

James Battin, NOAA Northwest Fishery Science Center

2:20-2:40 Break
2:40-4:00

Panel Discussion:

What does climate variability and change mean for short-term and long-term salmon management objectives? This session asked panelists and audience members to consider six questions.

Questions and discussion summary (pdf)

Moderator:
Ed Miles, CIG/UW School of Marine Affairs

Panelists (in alphabetical order):
•  Mike Lapointe, Pacific Salmon Commission
•  Paul LeBlond, Pacific Fisheries Resource Conservation Council
•  Phil Miller, Washington State Governor's Salmon Recovery Office
•  Kit Rawson, Tulalip Tribe
•  Mary Ruckelshaus, NOAA Fisheries

4:00-4:55

Discussion:
A hypothesis on changes needed to integrate climate information into sustainable salmon management policies.

The session began with two brief presentations on the concepts introduced in the Kates and Schellnhuber papers as well as other background papers suggested for the meeting. Participants were asked to discuss whether they agreed or disagreed with the concepts as they relate to salmon management and recovery.

Presentations:
Nate Mantua, CIG
and
Bob Francis, CIG/UW School of Aquatic and Fisheries Sciences

Moderator:
Nate Mantua, CIG

4:55-5:00 Closing comments Ed Miles, CIG/UW School of Marine Affairs

Additional papers recommended by Randall Peterman:

Mueter, F.J., D.M. Ware and R.M. Peterman. 2002. Spatial correlation patterns in coastal environmental variables and survival rates of salmon in the north-east Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography 11(4):205-218.

Pyper, B.J., F.J. Mueter, R.M. Peterman, D.J. Blackbourn and C.C. Wood. 2002. Spatial covariation in survival rates of Northeast Pacific chum salmon. Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc. 131(3):343-363, plus the erratum printed in Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc. 131(4):796.

Mueter, F.J., R.M. Peterman, B.J. Pyper. 2002. Opposite effects of ocean temperature on survival rates of 120 stocks of Pacific salmon ( Oncorhynchus spp. ) in northern and southern areas. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci . 59(3):456-463, plus the corrigendum printed in Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci. 60:757.

Pyper, B.J., F.J. Mueter, R.M. Peterman, D.J. Blackbourn and C.C. Wood. 2001. Spatial covariation in survival rates of Northeast Pacific pink salmon ( Oncorhynchus gorbuscha). Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci . 58:1501-1515.

Peterman, R.M., Pyper, B.J., Grout, J.A. 2000. Comparison of parameter estimation methods for detecting climate-induced changes in productivity of Pacific salmon (Onchorhynchus spp.). Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci . 57:181-191.

 

 

For more information, please contact:
Lara Whitely Binder, CIG
206-616-5349