Quick
Links:
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Background
Papers
The
following papers were recommended background reading for the meeting.
Please note that Mantua and Francis ("Natural climate insurance..."),
Kates, and Schellnhuber papers were central to the discussion titled "A
hypothesis on changes needed to integrate climate information into sustainable
salmon management policies".
All papers are in a PDF format.
- Kates, Robert W. et al. 2001. Sustainability
science. Science Magazine 292: 641-642 (April 27, 2001).
- Lawson, P.W., E. A. Logerwell, N. J. Mantua, R. C.
Francis, and V. N. Agostini. 2004. Environmental
factors influencing freshwater survival and smolt production in two
Pacific Northwest coho salmon (Oncorhynchus
kisutch) populations. Canadian Journal of Fisheries
and Aquatic Sciences 60(3):360-373.
- Logerwell, E. A., N. J. Mantua, P.W. Lawson,
R. C. Francis, and V. N. Agostini. 2003. Tracking
environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting
Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus
kisutch) marine survival. Fisheries Oceanography 12(3):1-15.
- Mantua, N. and R.C. Francis (in press). Natural
climate insurance for Pacific Northwest salmon and salmon fisheries:
Finding out way through the entangled bank. To appear in American
Fisheries Society Symposium no. 43.
- Schellnhuber, H.J. 1999. ‘Earth
system’ analysis
and the second Copernican revolution. Nature (Supplement)
402: C19-C23 (December 2, 1999).
More
CIG publications on Pacific Northwest climate, hydrology, and aquatic
ecosystems can be found here. Additional
papers recommended by Randall Peterman are available here.
Presentations Presentations
are posted in PowerPoint (.ppt) format unless otherwise noted.
| Time |
Title |
Presenter |
| 8:30-9:00 |
Registration |
---- |
| 9:00-9:10 |
Welcome |
Ed Miles, CIG/UW School of
Marine Affairs |
| 9:10-9:50 |
Background:
The impacts of climate variability on
Pacific Northwest climate and salmon (pdf) |
Nate Mantua, CIG |
| 9:50-10:30 |
Background:
What future for
streamflow in the Pacific Northwest? The impact of climate change on Pacific Northwest climate
and streamflow |
Alan Hamlet, CIG/UW Department of Civil and Environmental
Engineering |
| 10:30-10:45 |
Break |
| 10:45-11:15 |
Presentation:
Environmental relationships
affecting Puget
Sound and coastal salmon production |
David Seiler, Washington Department
of Fish and Wildlife |
| 11:15-11:45 |
Presentation:
Environmental conditions, salmon survival rates, and evaluations
of management models
*Additional papers recommended by Randall
Peterman.
|
Randall Peterman, Simon Fraser
University |
| 11:45-12:00 |
General question/answer period |
Nate Mantua, CIG |
| 12:00-1:00 |
Lunch |
| 1:00-1:40 |
Case study: British Columbia
Impacts
of climate variation and change events on salmon populations
in southern British Columbia:
Implications for conservation and restoration |
Dr. Kim Hyatt, Fisheries and Oceans Canada |
| 1:40-2:20 |
Case study: The Snohomish Basin
(WA)
Modeling the effects of climate change on planned Chinook salmon
habitat restoration actions in the Snohomish River Basin
|
James Battin, NOAA Northwest
Fishery Science Center |
| 2:20-2:40 |
Break
|
| 2:40-4:00 |
Panel Discussion:
What does climate variability and change mean for short-term and
long-term salmon management objectives?
This session asked panelists and audience members to consider six
questions.
Questions and
discussion summary (pdf) |
Moderator:
Ed
Miles, CIG/UW School of Marine Affairs
Panelists (in alphabetical order):
• Mike
Lapointe, Pacific Salmon Commission
• Paul LeBlond,
Pacific Fisheries Resource Conservation Council
• Phil
Miller, Washington State Governor's Salmon Recovery Office
• Kit
Rawson, Tulalip Tribe
• Mary Ruckelshaus, NOAA Fisheries |
| 4:00-4:55 |
Discussion:
A hypothesis on
changes needed to integrate climate information into sustainable
salmon management policies.
The session began with two brief presentations
on the concepts introduced in the Kates and Schellnhuber papers
as well as other background papers suggested
for the meeting. Participants were asked to discuss whether they
agreed or disagreed with the concepts as they relate to salmon
management and recovery.
|
Presentations:
Nate Mantua, CIG
and
Bob Francis, CIG/UW School of
Aquatic and Fisheries Sciences
Moderator:
Nate Mantua, CIG
|
| 4:55-5:00 |
Closing comments |
Ed Miles, CIG/UW School of
Marine Affairs |
Additional papers recommended by Randall Peterman:
Mueter, F.J., D.M. Ware and R.M. Peterman. 2002. Spatial
correlation patterns in coastal environmental variables and survival
rates of salmon in the north-east Pacific Ocean. Fisheries Oceanography
11(4):205-218.
Pyper, B.J., F.J. Mueter, R.M. Peterman, D.J. Blackbourn
and C.C. Wood. 2002. Spatial covariation in survival rates of Northeast
Pacific chum salmon. Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc. 131(3):343-363, plus the
erratum printed in Trans. Amer. Fish. Soc. 131(4):796.
Mueter, F.J., R.M. Peterman, B.J. Pyper. 2002. Opposite effects of ocean
temperature on survival rates of 120 stocks of Pacific salmon ( Oncorhynchus
spp. ) in northern and southern areas. Can. J. Fish. Aquat. Sci
. 59(3):456-463, plus the corrigendum printed in Can. J. Fish. Aquat.
Sci. 60:757.
Pyper, B.J., F.J. Mueter, R.M. Peterman, D.J. Blackbourn
and C.C. Wood. 2001. Spatial covariation in survival rates of Northeast
Pacific pink salmon ( Oncorhynchus gorbuscha). Can. J. Fish.
Aquat. Sci . 58:1501-1515.
Peterman, R.M., Pyper, B.J., Grout, J.A. 2000. Comparison
of parameter estimation methods for detecting climate-induced changes
in productivity of Pacific salmon (Onchorhynchus spp.). Can.
J. Fish. Aquat. Sci . 57:181-191. |
