General Meeting Information

The Climate Impacts Group's (CIG's) fall forecast meeting provides an opportunity to hear how forecasted climate conditions for winter 2008-2009 may affect regional climate and streamflow conditions in the Columbia River Basin and western Washington and Oregon in summer 2009. The meeting also provides a forum for sharing the latest research on climate impacts and climate forecasting in the Pacific Northwest (PNW).

The CIG's fall forecast meetings are open to the public. Past meeting participants have included:

Review the list of this year's meeting participants (pdf). A breakdown of this year's participants by sector is provided below.

Click on image to enlarge

Agenda and Presentations

All presentations are in PPT format unless noted otherwise.


** Registration **


Welcome and introductions Nate Mantua, CIG


Winter 2007-08 climate recap and outlook for winter 2008-09 Nate Mantua, CIG


Seasonal outlooks for hydrology and water resources: Streamflow, reservoir, and hydropower forecasts for major western U.S. river systems (with emphasis on the Columbia River basin) forecasts Francisco Munoz-Arriola (presentation), UW, and Alan Hamlet (presentation), CIG


** Break **


Seasonal volume forecasts using Ensemble Streamflow Prediction for the 2009 water year - Stephen King, NWS River Forecast Center


Water supply forecasting products and research and the NRCS National Water and Climate Center - Dave Garen (PDF presentation) and Tom Pagano (presentation), NRCS


Hydrologic predictability and water year predictions in the Columbia River basin Andy Wood, 3TIER


** Lunch (provided) **


Predicting ENSO one year in advance (pdf) Todd Mitchell, UW Center for Science in the Earth System

1:30-2:00 Development of flood rule curves for the Columbia River Basin conditioned on ENSO classification - Se-Yeun Lee, University of Washington


Estimating the sensitivity of Cascades snowpack to global warming (pdf) - Joe Casola, UW Department of Atmospheric Sciences


** Break **


Updated (2008) climate change scenarios for the Pacific Northwest Eric Salathé, CIG


Trends in hydro resources across the west Alan Hamlet, CIG


Coming attractions: Work to date on the Washington State climate impacts assessment, the Columbia Basin streamflow scenarios project, and new flood and 7Q10 analysis Lara Whitely Binder (presentation) and Alan Hamlet (presentation), CIG


Meeting wrap-up Lara Whitely Binder, CIG

Other Climate Meetings of Interest

Idaho Climate and Water Forecasts for the 2009 Water Year - October 16, 2008 (Boise, Idaho)

The Idaho Climate and Water Forecasts meeting provided the opportunity to hear how forecasted climate conditions for the winter 2008-2009 may affect regional climate and streamflow conditions in the Columbia and Snake River Basins in 2009. Visit the meeting web site to learn more.

Save the Date!
Washington Climate Impacts Assessment - February 12, 2009
(website coming)

The Climate Impacts Group, in partnership with Washington State University and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, is conducting a first-ever climate impacts assessment for the state of Washington. The assessment evaluates the impacts of climate change on the following sectors: agriculture, coasts, energy, forests, human health, hydrology and water resources, infrastructure (specifically related to stormwater management), and salmon. The work, funded by the Washington State Legislature in 2007, will be completed by December 2008.

The CIG will convene a one day conference on February 12, 2009, in Seattle to share the results of the Washington Climate Impacts Assessment. A conference website, agenda, and registration information will be available soon. In the mean time, please contact the CIG with any questions.