Return to CIG


View All Publications

Go To Publication by Year:

View Publications by Topic:



Air Quality

Aquatic Ecosystems and Fisheries

Background Papers

Climate: Atmospheric Modeling

Climate: Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Modeling

Climate: Diagnostics

Climate: Global Climate

Climate: Ocean Modeling

Climate: PNW Climate

Climate: Regional Climate Modeling

Coastal Ecosystems

Coastal Environments

Conservation Biology

Data Analysis and Sharing


Fact Sheets

Forecasts and Applications

Forest Ecosystems

Human Health

Hydrology and Water Resources


Integrated Assessment

Ocean Acidification


Program Documents

Science Advisory Reports

Societal Dimensions

Special Reports

Theses and Dissertations

View Publications by Author:

Search the Publication Abstracts:

Other CSES Links:

About CSES

CSES Personnel

Data / Links


Welcome to the publications directory for the Climate Impacts Group and the Climate Dynamics Group. Please contact the web administrator for assistance with any of these publications.

View: Abstract

After Kyoto: Which way forward?

Slaughter, R. (In review). After Kyoto: Which way forward?. Submitted to Foreign Policy.


Global policy to address causes of climate change must ultimately change human economic behavior. Institutions, formal and informal, are the social mechanisms through which human behavior is constrained, and therefore the logical object of any climate change policy study. Investigations into efficient institutional design tend to focus either on intensive case study or on game theory. These approaches share a common focus on interaction of persons or agents in a specific environment, absent a theoretical model of human behavior. They also tend to share a rejection of market analysis, working from a presumption of “market failure” because the market does not accurately reflect costs that are external to the market and that market participants do not immediately adjust their behavior to changes in costs at the margin. This presumption, which may be in error, leads to resort in the first instance to “command and control” regulation instead of responses based on micro-economic behavior. This article applies micro-economic theory to the question of what characteristics an effective institutional structure is likely to exhibit. It then applies that analysis to the structure of the obligations of the Kyoto Protocol. The analysis finds that the standard model of human economic behavior, adding consideration of transactions costs, provides powerful insights into how institutions might be most effectively designed for the purpose of reducing human emissions of greenhouse gasses (GHGs).