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Author View: Mote, P.W.

In press

The Northwest

Snover, A.K., P.W. Mote, S.M. Capalbo, S. Eigenbrode, P. Glick, J.S. Littell, R. Raymondi, and S. Reeder. (In press). The Northwest. To appear in the Third U.S. National Climate Assessment, scheduled for release in early 2014.

2013

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Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities

Dalton, M., P.W. Mote, and A.K. Snover. 2013. Climate Change in the Northwest: Implications for our Landscapes, Waters, and Communities. Washington, D.C.: Island Press. 271 pp.

Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations

Mauger, G.S., K.A. Bumbaco, G.J. Hakim, and P.W. Mote. 2013. Optimal design of a climatological network: Beyond practical considerations. Geoscientific Instrumentation, Methods and Data Systems 2(2):199-212. doi:10.5194/gi-2-199-2013.

2010

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Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., and E.P. Salathé. 2010. Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 102(1-2): 29-50, doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9848-z.

Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins

Slaughter, R., A.F. Hamlet, D.D. Huppert, J. Hamilton, and P.W. Mote. 2010. Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins. Water Policy 12 (2010) 305-317, doi: 10.2166/wp.2009.152.

2009

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The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate

Brown, R.D., and P.W. Mote. 2009. The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate. Journal of Climate 22(8):2124-2145, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2665.1.

Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades

Casola, J.H., L. Cuo, B. Livneh, D.P. Lettenmaier, M.T. Stoelinga, P.W. Mote, and J.M. Wallace. 2009. Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades. Journal of Climate 22:2758-2772, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2612.1.

Setting the record straight: Responses to common challenges to climate science

Doppelt, B., C.S. Bretherton, N.J. Mantua, and P.W. Mote. 2009. Setting the record straight: Responses to common challenges to climate science. White paper prepared by the University of Oregon's Climate Leadership Initiative in partnership with the University of Washington's Climate Impacts Group. January 2009.

Future climate in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., and E.P. Salathé. 2009. Future climate in the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 1 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

Evaluation of WRF and HadRM mesoscale climate simulations over the United States Pacific Northwest

Zhang, Y., V. Dulière, P.W. Mote, and E.P. Salathé. 2009. Evaluation of WRF and HadRM mesoscale climate simulations over the United States Pacific Northwest. Journal of Climate 22(20):5511-5526, doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2875.1.

2008

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Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro

Kaser, G., and P.W. Mote. 2008. Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro. Spektrum der Wissenschaft, Januar 2008, 62-69.

Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming

Mote, P.W., J. Casson, A.F. Hamlet, and D.C. Reading. 2008. Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming. pp 63-67, in B. McGurk (ed.), Proceedings of the 75th Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2007, Kailua-Kona, Hawaii. Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., M. Clark, and A.F. Hamlet. 2008. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the AAAS Pacific Division Annual Meeting.

Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and E.P. Salathé. 2008. Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12: 193-206.

Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State

Mote, P.W., A. Petersen, S. Reeder, H. Shipman, and L.C. Whitely Binder. 2008. Sea Level Rise in the Coastal Waters of Washington State. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington and the Washington Department of Ecology, Lacey, Washington.

Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé, V. Dulière, and E. Jump. 2008. Scenarios of Future Climate Change for the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington, Seattle.

Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program

National Research Council 2008. Research and Networks for Decision Support in the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program. Panel on Design Issues for the NOAA Sectoral Applications Research Program, H.M. Ingram and P.C. Stern (eds.), Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education. The National Academies Press, Washington, DC. 84 pp.

2007

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The physical science behind climate change

Colman, R., W. Collins, J. Haywood, M. Manning, and P.W. Mote. 2007. The physical science behind climate change. Scientific American 297(2): 64-71.

20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S

Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2007. 20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S. Journal of Climate 20(8): 1468-1486. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4051.1

Summary for Policymakers

IPCC 2007. Summary for Policymakers. In S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M.Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (Contributing author: Mote)

Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface

Keeton, W.S., P.W. Mote, and J.F. Franklin. 2007. Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface. pp. 225-253. In A. Troy and R. Kennedy (eds)., Living on the Edge: Economic, Institutional and Management Perspectives on Wildfire Hazard in the Urban Interface. Advances in the Economics of Environmental Resources , Vol. 6. Oxford, United Kingdom: Elsevier Sciences JAI Press.

Observations: Changes in snow, ice and frozen ground

Lemke, P., J. Ren, R.B. Alley, I. Allison, J. Carrasco, G. Flato, Y. Fujii, G. Kaser, P.W. Mote, R.H. Thomas, and T. Zhang. 2007. Observations: Changes in snow, ice and frozen ground. Chapter 4 in S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA.

The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?

Mote, P.W., and G. Kaser. 2007. The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?. American Scientist 95(4):318-325.

Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest

Salathé, E.P., P.W. Mote, and M.W. Wiley. 2007. Review of scenario selection and downscaling methods for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrology in the United States Pacific Northwest. International Journal of Climatology 27(12): 1611-1621, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1540.

Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change

Trenberth, K.E., P.D. Jones, P. Ambenje, R. Bojariu, D. Easterling, A. Klein Tank, D. Parker, F. Rahimzadeh, J.A. Renwick, M. Rusticucci, B. Soden, and P. Zhai. 2007. Observations: Surface and atmospheric climate change. Chapter 3 in S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor and H.L. Miller (eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA. (Contributing author: Mote)

2006

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An approach to designing a National Climate Service

Miles, E.L., A.K. Snover, L.C. Whitely Binder, E.S. Sarachik, P.W. Mote, and N.J. Mantua. 2006. An approach to designing a National Climate Service. Proceedings of the National Academies of Sciences 103(52):19616-19623.

Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W. 2006. Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. Journal of Climate 19(23): 6209-6220.

Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé, and C. Peacock. 2006. Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared for Portland General Electric by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 19 pp.

2005

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Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States

Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States. Journal of Climate 18(21): 4545-4561.

Declining mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, M. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86(1):39-49.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America. In K. Elder, B. McGurk, and J. Lea (eds.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 19-22, 2004, Richmond, British Columbia, pp. 15-22, Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

Scenarios of Future Climate for the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé, and C. Peacock. 2005. Scenarios of Future Climate for the Pacific Northwest. A report prepared for King County (Washington)'s October 27, 2005 climate change conference "The Future Ain't What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption". Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound - Foundation Document

Mote, P.W., A.K. Snover, L.C. Whitely Binder, A.F. Hamlet, and N.J. Mantua. 2005. Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound - Foundation Document. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington.

Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound

Snover, A.K., P.W. Mote, L.C. Whitely Binder, A.F. Hamlet, and N.J. Mantua. 2005. Uncertain Future: Climate Change and Its Effects on Puget Sound. Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Oceans, University of Washington.

2004

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Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation

McKenzie, D., Z.M. Gedalof, D.L. Peterson, and P.W. Mote. 2004. Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation. Conservation Biology 18(4):890-902.

Declines in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes

Mote, P.W. 2004. Declines in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes. In B. McGurk (ed.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 20-24, 2003, Scottsdale, Arizona., pp. 77-83, Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

How and why is Northwest climate changing?

Mote, P.W. 2004. How and why is Northwest climate changing?. pp. 11-22 in Peterson, D.L. and J.L. Innes (eds.), Climate Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. General technical report for the USDA Forest Service Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2004. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division 85th Annual Meeting, Ashland, Oregon: American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division.

2003

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Trends in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes

Mote, P.W. 2003. Trends in snow water equivalent in the Pacific Northwest and their climatic causes. Geophysical Research Letters 30(12) 1601, doi:10.1029/2003GL017258, 2003.

Trends in temperature and precipitation in the Pacific Northwest during the twentieth century

Mote, P.W. 2003. Trends in temperature and precipitation in the Pacific Northwest during the twentieth century. Northwest Science 77(4): 271-282.

Twentieth-century fluctuations and trends in temperature, precipitation, and mountain snowpack in the Georgia Basin-Puget Sound region

Mote, P.W. 2003. Twentieth-century fluctuations and trends in temperature, precipitation, and mountain snowpack in the Georgia Basin-Puget Sound region. Canadian Water Resources Journal 28(4): 567-586.

Preparing for climatic change: The water, salmon, and forests of the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., E.A. Parson, A.F. Hamlet, K.N. Ideker, W.S. Keeton, D.P. Lettenmaier, N.J. Mantua, E.L. Miles, D.W. Peterson, D.L. Peterson, R. Slaughter, and A.K. Snover. 2003. Preparing for climatic change: The water, salmon, and forests of the Pacific Northwest. Climatic Change 61:45-88.

2002

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Uncertainty in scenarios of human-caused climate change

Mantua, N.J., and P.W. Mote. 2002. Uncertainty in scenarios of human-caused climate change. In N. McGinn (ed.), Fisheries in a Changing Climate Symposium 32, pp. 263-272, Bethesda, Maryland: American Fisheries Society.

Causes of climate variability in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., and N.J. Mantua. 2002. Causes of climate variability in the Pacific Northwest. The Climate Report 3(2):2-6.

Coastal upwelling in a warming future

Mote, P.W., and N.J. Mantua. 2002. Coastal upwelling in a warming future. Geophysical Research Letters 29(23), 2138 doi: 10.1029/2002GL016086.

Climate impacts on the natural resources of the Pacific Northwest

Snover, A.K., and P.W. Mote. 2002. Climate impacts on the natural resources of the Pacific Northwest. The Climate Report 3(2):7-11.

2001

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Scientific assessment of climate change: Global and regional scales

Mote, P.W. 2001. Scientific assessment of climate change: Global and regional scales. Preparatory White Paper for Climate and Water Policy Meeting, Skamania, Washington, July 2001. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington. 10pp.

Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., and A.F. Hamlet. 2001. Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest. In K. Elder (ed.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2001, Sun Valley, Idaho, pp. 51-52, Portland, OR: Western Snow Conference.

2000

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Distribution and variability of water vapour

Gettelman, A., J. Harries, and P.W. Mote. 2000. Distribution and variability of water vapour. Chapter 3, In SPARC Assessment of Water Vapour in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere, D. Kley, J. Russell, and C. Phillips, (eds.), World Climate Research Programme, Paris.

Designing a GCM experiment: Fundamentals of the planning process

Mote, P.W. 2000. Designing a GCM experiment: Fundamentals of the planning process. pp. 119-126. In P.W. Mote and A. O'Neill (eds.), Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System. Dordrecht, Holland: Kluwer Academic Press, 517 pp.

Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System

Mote, P.W., and A. O'Neill. 2000. Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System. Dordrecht, Holland: Kluwer Academic Press, 517 pp.

Snow White and the six dwarves run climate models in Italy

Mote, P.W., D. Paquin, and J. Yin. 2000. Snow White and the six dwarves run climate models in Italy. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 81: 1041-1045.

Seasonal predictions

Mote, P.W., E.S. Sarachik, and M. Deque. 2000. Seasonal predictions. pp. 387-402. In P.W. Mote and A. O'Neill (eds.), Numerical Modeling of the Global Atmosphere in the Climate System, Dordrecht, Holland: Kluwer Academic Press, 517pp.

Potential consequences of climate variations and change for the Pacific Northwest

Parson, E.A., P.W. Mote, A.F. Hamlet, N.J. Mantua, A.K. Snover, W.S. Keeton, E.L. Miles, D.J. Canning, and K.N. Ideker. 2000. Potential consequences of climate variations and change for the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 9 in National Assessment of the Potential Consequences of Climate Variations and Change (Washington D.C.: USGCRP).

1999

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ENSO impacts on the Pacific Northwest: An integrated assessment

Miles, E.L., N.J. Mantua, and P.W. Mote. 1999. ENSO impacts on the Pacific Northwest: An integrated assessment. In W.S. Wooster and W.T. Burke (eds), Proceedings of the Public Program, School of Marine Affairs 25th Anniversary, pp.90-98. School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington.

Impacts of Climate Variability and Change, Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., D.J. Canning, D.L. Fluharty, R.C. Francis, J.F. Franklin, A.F. Hamlet, M. Hershman, M. Holmberg, K.N. Ideker, W.S. Keeton, D.P. Lettenmaier, L.R. Leung, N.J. Mantua, E.L. Miles, B. Noble, H. Parandvash, D.W. Peterson, A.K. Snover, and S.R. Willard. 1999. Impacts of Climate Variability and Change, Pacific Northwest. National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration, Office of Global Programs, and JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group, Seattle, WA. 110 pp.

Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on the Pacific Northwest: Executive Summary

Mote, P.W., M. Holmberg, N.J. Mantua, and Climate Impacts Group. 1999. Impacts of Climate Variability and Change on the Pacific Northwest: Executive Summary. National Atmospheric and Oceanic Administration, Office of Global Programs, and JISAO/SMA Climate Impacts Group, Seattle, Washington. 12 pp.

Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., W.S. Keeton, and J.F. Franklin. 1999. Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of the 11th Conference on Applied Climatology, pp. 155-156, American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA.