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Lee, S.Y., A.F. Hamlet, C.J. Fitzgerald, S.J. Burges, and D.P. Lettenmaier. (In press). Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario. To appear in ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management.

Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins

Slaughter, R., A.F. Hamlet, D.D. Huppert, J. Hamilton, and P.W. Mote. (In press). Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins. To appear in Water Policy.

Real-time precipitation estimation based on index station percentiles

Tang, Q., A.W. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier. (In press). Real-time precipitation estimation based on index station percentiles. To appear in Journal of Hydrometeorology.

In review

State drought programs: Lessons and recommendations from the western U.S.

Fontaine, M., A.C. Steinemann, and M.J. Hayes. (In review). State drought programs: Lessons and recommendations from the western U.S.. Submitted to ASCE Natural Hazards Review.

Climate, water cycles, and water resources management in the Pacific Northwest

Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, A.K. Snover, and E.L. Miles. (In review). Climate, water cycles, and water resources management in the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 6 in A. K. Snover, E.L. Miles, and the Climate Impacts Group, Rhythms of Change: An Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest, Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

Effects of changing 20th century precipitation variability on annual streamflow and regional hydropower resources in the Western U.S.

Hamlet, A.F., A.L. Westerling, T.P. Barnett, and D.P. Lettenmaier. (In review). Effects of changing 20th century precipitation variability on annual streamflow and regional hydropower resources in the Western U.S..

Development of flood rule curves for the Columbia River Basin conditioned on ENSO classification

Lee, S.Y., A.F. Hamlet, and S.J. Burges. (In review). Development of flood rule curves for the Columbia River Basin conditioned on ENSO classification. Submitted to Water Resources Research.

Water markets at work: An Idaho model

Reading, D.C. (In review). Water markets at work: An Idaho model. Submitted to International Journal of Water Resources Development.

System optimization using streamflow forecasts during droughts

Ryu, J.H., and R.N. Palmer. (In review). System optimization using streamflow forecasts during droughts. Submitted to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management.

After Kyoto: Which way forward?

Slaughter, R. (In review). After Kyoto: Which way forward?. Submitted to Foreign Policy.

2009

Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the 21st century

Adam, J.C., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2009. Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the 21st century. Hydrological Processes 23(7), 962-972.

The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate

Brown, R.D., and P.W. Mote. 2009. The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate. Journal of Climate 22(8):2124-2145, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2665.1.

Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades

Casola, J.H., L. Cuo, B. Livneh, D.P. Lettenmaier, M. Stoelinga, P.W. Mote, and J.M. Wallace. 2009. Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades. Journal of Climate 22:2758-2772, doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2612.1.

Assessing vulnerability to natural hazards: An impact-based method and application to drought in Washington State

Fontaine, M., and A.C. Steinemann. 2009. Assessing vulnerability to natural hazards: An impact-based method and application to drought in Washington State. Natural Hazards Review 10(1):11-18.

Detection and attribution of streamflow timing change in the Western United States

Hidalgo, H., T. Das, M. Dettinger, D.R. Cayan, D. Pierce, T. Barnett, G. Bala, A, Mirin, A.W. Wood, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, and T. Nozawa. 2009. Detection and attribution of streamflow timing change in the Western United States. Journal of Climate doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2470.1 (early online release version).

Reconciling projections of Colorado River streamflow

Hoerling, M., D.P. Lettenmaier, D. Cayan, and B. Udall. 2009. Reconciling projections of Colorado River streamflow. Southwest Hydrology 8(3): 20-21, 31.

Impacts of climate change on key aspects of freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State

Mantua, N.J., I. Tohver, and A.F. Hamlet. 2009. Impacts of climate change on key aspects of freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State. Chapter 6 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America

Maurer, E.P., J.C. Adam, and A.W. Wood. 2009. Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America. Hydrol. Earth System Sciences 13(2):183-194.

Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State

McGuire Elsner, M., L. Cuo, N. Voisin, J. Deems, A.F. Hamlet, J. Vano, K.E.B. Mickelson, S.Y. Lee, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2009. Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State. Chapter 3.1 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

A transactions cost approach to the theoretical foundations of water markets

Slaughter, R. 2009. A transactions cost approach to the theoretical foundations of water markets. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(2): 331-342.

Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA

Vano, J., M. Scott, N. Voisin, C. Stöckle, A.F. Hamlet, K.E.B. Mickelson, M. McGuire Elsner, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2009. Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA. Chapter 3.3 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA

Vano, J., N. Voisin, L. Cuo, A.F. Hamlet, M. McGuire Elsner, R.N. Palmer, A. Polebitski, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2009. Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA. Chapter 3.2 in The Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment: Evaluating Washington's Future in a Changing Climate, Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.

2008

Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States

Barnett, T., D.W. Pierce, H. Hidalgo, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, T. Das, G. Bala, A.W. Wood, T. Nazawa, A, Mirin, D. Cayan, and M. Dettinger. 2008. Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States. Science Science Express Reports 10.1126/science.1152538.

Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States

Bonfils, C., D.W. Pierce, B.D. Santer, H. Hidalgo, G. Bala, T. Das, T. Barnett, C. Doutriaux, A.W. Wood, A, Mirin, and T. Nazawa. 2008. Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States. Journal of Climate 21(23):6404–6424, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2397.1.

The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity

Climate Change Science Program 2008. The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity. A report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. P. Backlund, A. Janetos, D. Schimel, J. Hatfield, K. Boote, P. Fay, L. Hahn, C. Izaurralde, B.A. Kimball, T. Mader, J. Morgan, D. Ort, W. Polley, A. Thomson, D. Wolfe, M. Ryan, S. Archer, R. Birdsey, C. Dahm, L. Heath, J. Hicke, D. Hollinger, T. Huxman, G. Okin, R. Oren, J. Randerson, W. Schlesinger, D. Lettenmaier, D. Major, L. Poff, S. Running, L. Hansen, D. Inouye, B.P. Kelly, L Meyerson, B. Peterson, R. Shaw. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC., USA, 362 pp.

Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro

Kaser, G., and P.W. Mote. 2008. Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro. Spektrum der Wissenschaft, Januar 2008, 62-69.

Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?

Milly, P.C.D., J. Betancourt, M. Falkenmark, R.M. Hirsch, Z.W. Kundzewicz, D.P. Lettenmaier, and R.J. Stouffer. 2008. Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?. Science 319 (5863): 573-574, DOI: 10.1126/science.1151915.

Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming

Mote, P.W., J. Casson, A.F. Hamlet, and D.C. Reading. 2008. Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming. pp 63-67, in B. McGurk (ed.), Proceedings of the 75th Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2007, Kailua-Kona, Hawaii. Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., M. Clark, and A.F. Hamlet. 2008. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the AAAS Pacific Division Annual Meeting.

Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and E.P. Salathé. 2008. Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 12: 193-206.

Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region

Munoz-Arriola, F., D.P. Lettenmaier, C. Zhu, R. Lobato-Sanchez, and A. Wagner-Gomez. 2008. Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region. CLIVAR Exchanges 45, 13(2):24-25.

Wild and scenic rivers

Palmer, M.A., D.P. Lettenmaier, N.L. Poff, S. Postel, B. Richter, and R. Warner. 2008. Wild and scenic rivers. Chapter 6 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 6-1 to 6-73.

Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects

Pierce, D.W., T. Barnett, H. Hidalgo, T. Das, C. Bonfils, B.D. Santer, G. Bala, M. Dettinger, D. Cayan, A, Mirin, A.W. Wood, and T. Nazawa. 2008. Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects. Journal of Climate 21(23): 6425–6444, doi:10.1175/2008JCLI2405.1.

How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting?

Shi, X., A.W. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2008. How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting?. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(6):1350–1363, doi:10.1175/2008JHM1001.1.

Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought

Shukla, S., and A.W. Wood. 2008. Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L02405, doi:10.1029/2007GL032487.

Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction

Voisin, N., A.W. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2008. Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(3):388-407.

The University of Washington Surface Water Monitor: An experimental platform for national hydrologic assessment and prediction.

Wood, A.W. 2008. The University of Washington Surface Water Monitor: An experimental platform for national hydrologic assessment and prediction.. In Proceedings of the AMS 22nd Conference on Hydrology, New Orleans, LA, January 20-24, 2008.

An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty

Wood, A.W., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2008. An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty. Geophysical Research Letters 35, L14401, doi:10.1029/2008GL034648.

Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread

Wood, A.W., and J.C. Schaake. 2008. Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread. Journal of Hydrometeorology 9(1): 132-148.

2007

Technical Memorandum #7: Impacts of Climate Change on Cloud Cover in the Puget Sound Region

Alemu, E., and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #7: Impacts of Climate Change on Cloud Cover in the Puget Sound Region. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Technical Memorandum #8: Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources- A Literature Review

Alexander, D., and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #8: Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources- A Literature Review. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Technical Memorandum #1: Literature Review of Research Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Alexander, D., R.N. Palmer, and A. Polebitski. 2007. Technical Memorandum #1: Literature Review of Research Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration

Battin, J., M.W. Wiley, M.H. Ruckelshaus, R.N. Palmer, E. Korb, K.K. Bartz, and H. Imaki. 2007. Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104(16): 6720–6725.

Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S.

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2007. Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S.. Water Resources Research 43, W06427, doi:10.1029/2006WR005099.

20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S

Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M.P. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2007. 20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S. Journal of Climate 20(8): 1468-1486. DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4051.1

The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?

Mote, P.W., and G. Kaser. 2007. The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?. American Scientist 95(4):318-325.

Technical Memorandum #3: Online Database Functionality and Design for Climate Impacted Data

O'Neill, C., and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #3: Online Database Functionality and Design for Climate Impacted Data. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Final Report of the Climate Change Technical Committee

Palmer, R.N. 2007. Final Report of the Climate Change Technical Committee. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Technical Memorandum #6: Framework for Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Palmer, R.N. 2007. Technical Memorandum #6: Framework for Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Technical Memorandum #4: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Meteorological Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Polebitski, A., L. Traynham, and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #4: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Meteorological Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Technical Memorandum #5: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Streamflow Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Polebitski, A., L. Traynham, and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #5: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Streamflow Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA

Technical Memorandum #2: Methodology for Downscaling Meteorological Data for Evaluating Climate Change

Polebitski, A., M.W. Wiley, and R.N. Palmer. 2007. Technical Memorandum #2: Methodology for Downscaling Meteorological Data for Evaluating Climate Change. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Water, adaptation, and property rights on the Snake and Klamath Rivers

Slaughter, R., and J.D. Wiener. 2007. Water, adaptation, and property rights on the Snake and Klamath Rivers. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 43(2):308-21. DOI: 10.1111 / j.1752-1688.2007.00024.x.

Assessing regional vulnerability by operationalizing the concept adaptive capacity in the Pacific Northwest

Trask, B. 2007. Assessing regional vulnerability by operationalizing the concept adaptive capacity in the Pacific Northwest. M.M.A. thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

2006

Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States

Andreadis, K.M., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2006. Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States. Geophysical Research Letters 33, L10403, doi:10.1029/2006GL025711.

Hydrologic implications of 20th century warming and climate variability in the western U.S

Hamlet, A.F. 2006. Hydrologic implications of 20th century warming and climate variability in the western U.S. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Washington, Seattle.

Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Lee, S.Y., A.F. Hamlet, C.J. Fitzgerald, S.J. Burges, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2006. Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario. In D. Zimbelman and W.C. Loehlein (eds.), Operating Reservoirs in Changing Conditions, ASCE conference proceedings, Sacramento, CA, August 14-16, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID

McGuire Elsner, M., A.W. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2006. Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID. J. Water Res. Planning and Mgt, ASCE, 132(2):97-110.

Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W. 2006. Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. Journal of Climate 19(23): 6209-6220.

Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., E.P. Salathé, and C. Peacock. 2006. Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest. Report prepared for Portland General Electric by the Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 19 pp.

Climate Change Building Blocks

Palmer, R.N., M.W. Wiley, A. Polebitski, B. Enfield, K. King, C. O'Neill, and L. Traynham. 2006. Climate Change Building Blocks. A report prepared by the Climate Change Technical Subcommittee of the Regional Water Supply Planning Process, Seattle, WA.

Using climate forecasts for drought water management

Steinemann, A.C. 2006. Using climate forecasts for drought water management. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(10): 1353-1361.

Developing multiple indicators and triggers for drought plans

Steinemann, A.C., and L.F.N. Cavalcanti. 2006. Developing multiple indicators and triggers for drought plans. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 132(3):164-174.

USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation

Vaddey, S.V., A.F. Hamlet, and K.D. White. 2006. USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation. In Proceedings of American Water Resources Association Summer Specialty Conference: Adaptive Management of Water Resources, Missoula, MT, Jun 26-28, 2006, Middleburg, Virginia: American Water Resources Association.

The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning

Voisin, N., A.F. Hamlet, L.P. Graham, D.W. Pierce, T.P. Barnett, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2006. The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning. Journal of Applied Meteorology 45(5):653-673.

Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management

White, K.D., S.V. Vaddey, A.F. Hamlet, S.J. Cohen, D. Neilsen, and W. Taylor. 2006. Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management. In M. Davies (ed.) and J.E. Zurfelt, Proceedings of the 13th International Conference on Cold Regions Engineering, Current Practices in Cold Regions Engineering, Orono, Maine, July 23-26, 2006, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineering.

Climate change and watershed planning in Washington State

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2006. Climate change and watershed planning in Washington State. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 42(4):915-926.

A testbed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western U.S.

Wood, A.W., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2006. A testbed for new seasonal hydrologic forecasting approaches in the western U.S.. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 87(12), 1699-1712, doi:10.1175/BAMS-87-12-1699.

2005

Relationships between the irrigation-pumping electrical loads and the local climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho

Alfaro, E., D. Pierce, A.C. Steinemann, and A. Gershunov. 2005. Relationships between the irrigation-pumping electrical loads and the local climate in Climate Division 9, Idaho. Applied Meteorology 44(12):1972-1978.

Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental U.S.

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Production of temporally consistent gridded precipitation and temperature fields for the continental U.S.. Journal of Hydrometeorology 6(3):330-336.

Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States

Hamlet, A.F., P.W. Mote, M. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Effects of temperature and precipitation variability on snowpack trends in the western United States. Journal of Climate 18(21): 4545-4561.

"Hydropower Breakout Session"

Kay, J.E., J.H. Casola, and A.K. Snover. 2005. "Hydropower Breakout Session". Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)'s October 27, 2005 climate change conference "The Future Ain't What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption". Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Municipal/Industrial Water Breakout Session"

Kay, J.E., J.H. Casola, and A.K. Snover. 2005. "Municipal/Industrial Water Breakout Session". Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)'s October 27, 2005 climate change conference "The Future Ain't What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption". Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Stormwater/Floods Breakout Session"

Kay, J.E., J.H. Casola, and A.K. Snover. 2005. "Stormwater/Floods Breakout Session". Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)'s October 27, 2005 climate change conference "The Future Ain't What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption". Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

Implications of 2005 Climate Change Scenarios for Pacific Northwest Hydrologic Studies

Lettenmaier, D.P., M.W. Wiley, A.F. Hamlet, and R.N. Palmer. 2005. Implications of 2005 Climate Change Scenarios for Pacific Northwest Hydrologic Studies. A report prepared for King County (Washington) by the Climate Impacts Group (Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle).

Effects of climate variability and change on mountain water resources in the Western U.S

Leung, L.R. 2005. Effects of climate variability and change on mountain water resources in the Western U.S. pp. 355-366. In U.M. Huber, H.K.M. Bugmann, and M.A. Reasoner (eds.), Global Change and Mountain Regions: A State of Knowledge Overview, Springer, Dordrecht.

Hydrologic response to climate variability, climate change, and climate extreme in the U.S.: Climate model evaluation and projections

Leung, L.R., and Y. Qian. 2005. Hydrologic response to climate variability, climate change, and climate extreme in the U.S.: Climate model evaluation and projections. pp. 37-44. In Wagener, T. et al. (eds), Regional Hydrological Impacts of Climatic Change - Impact Assessment and Decision Making, IAHS Publication 295.

Declining mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, M. Clark, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Declining mountain snowpack in western North America. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 86(1):39-49.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. Variability and trends in mountain snowpacks in western North America. In K. Elder, B. McGurk, and J. Lea (eds.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 19-22, 2004, Richmond, British Columbia, pp. 15-22, Soda Springs, CA: Western Snow Conference.

A retrospective assessment of National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate model-based ensemble hydrologic forecasting in the western United States

Wood, A.W., A. Kumar, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2005. A retrospective assessment of National Centers for Environmental Prediction climate model-based ensemble hydrologic forecasting in the western United States. Journal of Geophysical Research 110, D04105, doi:10.1029/2004JD004508.

2004

A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures

Alfaro, E., A. Gershunov, D. Cayan, A.C. Steinemann, D. Pierce, and T. Barnett. 2004. A method for prediction of California summer air surface temperatures. EOS, Transactions American Geophysical Union 85: 553, 557-558.

Integrated and cumulative threats to water

Cohen, S.J., R. de Loe, A.F. Hamlet, R. Herrington, L. Mortsch, and D. Shrubsole. 2004. Integrated and cumulative threats to water. Chapter 15 in Threats to Fresh Water Availability in Canada, Environment Canada, NWRI Scientific Assessment Report Series No.3, Burlington, Ontario: National Water Research Institute.

Columbia River flow and drought since 1750

Gedalof, Z.M., D.L. Peterson, and N.J. Mantua. 2004. Columbia River flow and drought since 1750. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 40(6):1579-1592.

The role of climate in water resources planning and management

Lettenmaier, D.P. 2004. The role of climate in water resources planning and management. pp. 247-266 in R. Lawford, D. Fort, H. Hartmann, and S. Eden (eds.), Water: Science, Policy, and Management, AGU Press Monograph, 422 pp.

Variability and predictability of North American runoff

Maurer, E.P., D.P. Lettenmaier, and N.J. Mantua. 2004. Variability and predictability of North American runoff. Water Resources Research 40, W09306, doi:10.1029/2003WR002789.

Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Mote, P.W., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2004. Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America. In F. Wagner (ed.), Proceedings of the American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division 85th Annual Meeting, Ashland, Oregon: American Association for the Advancement of Science Pacific Division.

The Impacts of Climate Change on the Tualatin River Basin Water Supply: An Investigation into Projected Hydrologic and Management Impacts

Palmer, R.N., E. Clancy, N.T. VanRheenen, and M.W. Wiley. 2004. The Impacts of Climate Change on the Tualatin River Basin Water Supply: An Investigation into Projected Hydrologic and Management Impacts. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle. 91 pp.

Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Palmer, R.N., and M. Miller. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE's 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin

Payne, J.T., A.W. Wood, A.F. Hamlet, R.N. Palmer, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2004. Mitigating the effects of climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River basin. Climatic Change 62(1-3):233-256.

Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest

Ryu, J.H., R.N. Palmer, S. Jeong, and J. Lee. 2004. Determining the skill of meteorological and hydrological forecasts in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of ASCE's 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

Projecting climate change in mesoscale river basins

Salathé, E.P. 2004. Projecting climate change in mesoscale river basins. In proceedings for the 15th Symposium on Global Change and Climate Variations, Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society.

Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004

Slaughter, R. 2004. Institutional history of the Snake River, 1850-2004. Background paper prepared for the Climate Impacts Group.

Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin

VanRheenen, N.T., R.N. Palmer, D.P. Lettenmaier, and A.F. Hamlet. 2004. Incorporating long-lead climate forecasts into risk-based management and decision analysis: A case for the Snake River Basin. In Proceedings of ASCE's 2004 World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Salt Lake City, Utah, June, 2004.

Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento - San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources

VanRheenen, N.T., A.W. Wood, R.N. Palmer, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2004. Potential implications of PCM climate change scenarios for Sacramento - San Joaquin River Basin hydrology and water resources. Climatic Change 62(1-3): 257-281.

Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle's long range water supply planning

Wiley, M.W. 2004. Analysis techniques to incorporate climate change information into Seattle's long range water supply planning. M.S.C.E. thesis, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Washington, Seattle.

Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs

Wood, A.W., L.R. Leung, V. Sridhar, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2004. Hydrologic implications of dynamical and statistical approaches to downscaling climate model outputs. Climatic Change 62:189-216.

2003

Assessing the impact of climate variability and change on regional water resources: The implications for stakeholders

Gamble, J.L., J. Furlow, A.K. Snover, A.F. Hamlet, B.J. Morehouse, H. Hartmann, and T. Pagano. 2003. Assessing the impact of climate variability and change on regional water resources: The implications for stakeholders. pp. 341-368. In R. Lawford, D. Fort, H. Hartmann, and S. Eden, Water: Science, Policy, and Management, Water Resources Monograph Series Vol. 16, Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union.

The role of transboundary agreements in the Columbia River Basin: An integrated assessment in the context of historic development, climate, and evolving water policy

Hamlet, A.F. 2003. The role of transboundary agreements in the Columbia River Basin: An integrated assessment in the context of historic development, climate, and evolving water policy. pp. 263-289. In H. Diaz and B. Morehouse (eds), Climate, Water, and Transboundary Challenges in the Americas. Dordrecht/Boston/London: Kluwer Press.

Improving water resources system performance through long-range climate forecasts: The Pacific Northwest experience

Lettenmaier, D.P., and A.F. Hamlet. 2003. Improving water resources system performance through long-range climate forecasts: The Pacific Northwest experience. Chapter 7 in W.M. Lewis Jr. (ed.),Water and Climate in the Western United States, Boulder, Colorado: University Press of Colorado.

Changes in seasonal and extreme hydrologic conditions of the Georgia Basin/Puget Sound in an ensemble regional climate simulation for the mid-century

Leung, L.R., and Y. Qian. 2003. Changes in seasonal and extreme hydrologic conditions of the Georgia Basin/Puget Sound in an ensemble regional climate simulation for the mid-century. Canadian Water Resources Journal. 28:605-631

Intercomparison of global reanalyses and regional simulations of cold season water budgets in the western United States

Leung, L.R., Y. Qian, J. Han, and J.O. Roads. 2003. Intercomparison of global reanalyses and regional simulations of cold season water budgets in the western United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology 4(6): 1067-1087.

Climate change scenarios for water planning studies: Pilot applications in the Pacific Northwest

Snover, A.K., A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2003. Climate change scenarios for water planning studies: Pilot applications in the Pacific Northwest. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 84(11):1513-1518.

Evaluating potential climate change impacts on water resource system operations: Case studies of Portland, Oregon and Central Valley, California

VanRheenen, N.T., R.N. Palmer, and M.A. Hahn. 2003. Evaluating potential climate change impacts on water resource system operations: Case studies of Portland, Oregon and Central Valley, California. Water Resources Update 124: 35-50.

Climate change, fish, agriculture, and power: Impacts and implications for future Snake River water resources management

VanRheenen, N.T., R.N. Palmer, A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2003. Climate change, fish, agriculture, and power: Impacts and implications for future Snake River water resources management. In Bizier, P. and P. De Barry (eds.), World Water and Environmental Resources Congress 2003 and Related Symposia: Proceedings of the Congress, June 23-26, 2003, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Reston, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

2002

Climate change impacts on municipal supplies: When are capital investments justified?

Hahn, M.A., and R.N. Palmer. 2002. Climate change impacts on municipal supplies: When are capital investments justified?. In Proceedings of the ASCE 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management. Roanoke, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower

Hamlet, A.F., D.D. Huppert, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2002. Economic value of long-lead streamflow forecasts for Columbia River hydropower. ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 128(2): 91-101.

The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland's Water Supply: An Investigation of Potential Hydrologic and Management Impacts on the Bull Run System

Palmer, R.N., and M.A. Hahn. 2002. The Impacts of Climate Change on Portland's Water Supply: An Investigation of Potential Hydrologic and Management Impacts on the Bull Run System. Report prepared for the Portland Water Bureau, University of Washington, Seattle. 139 pp.

Developing drought triggers and drought responses: An application in Georgia

Palmer, R.N., S.L. Kutzing, and A.C. Steinemann. 2002. Developing drought triggers and drought responses: An application in Georgia. In Proceedings of the ASCE's 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning and Management. Roanoke, Virginia: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Preparing for an uncertain future: Adaptive management strategies and alternative approaches to mitigate the impacts of climate change in California's Central Valley

VanRheenen, N.T., and R.N. Palmer. 2002. Preparing for an uncertain future: Adaptive management strategies and alternative approaches to mitigate the impacts of climate change in California's Central Valley. In Proceedings of the ASCE's 2002 Conference on Water Resources Planning & Management, Roanoke, Virgina: American Society of Civil Engineers.

Senior stakeholders meeting on climate and water policy: Executive and general meeting summaries

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2002. Senior stakeholders meeting on climate and water policy: Executive and general meeting summaries. A report on the March 20, 2002 meeting with senior Pacific Northwest water resource managers. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Watershed planning, climate variability, and climate change: Bringing a global scale issue to the local level

Whitely Binder, L.C. 2002. Watershed planning, climate variability, and climate change: Bringing a global scale issue to the local level. MPA degree project, Evans School of Public Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

2001

Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Detailed Summary

Climate Impacts Group 2001. Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Detailed Summary. Climate and Water Policy Workshop, July 16-17, 2001, Stevenson, Washington. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 51pp.

Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Executive Summary

Climate Impacts Group 2001. Climate and Water Policy Workshop: Executive Summary. Climate and Water Policy Workshop, July 16-17, 2001, Stevenson, Washington. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 21pp.

Preliminary analysis of the impacts of climate change on the reliability of the Seattle water supply

Hahn, M.A., R.N. Palmer, P. Storck, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2001. Preliminary analysis of the impacts of climate change on the reliability of the Seattle water supply. In Phelps, D. and G. Sehlke (eds.), Proceedings of the World Water and Environmental Resources Congress, Reston, Virginia: Environmental and Water Resources Institute, American Society of Civil Engineers.

Effects of climate change on water resources in the Pacific Northwest: Impacts and policy implications

Hamlet, A.F. 2001. Effects of climate change on water resources in the Pacific Northwest: Impacts and policy implications. Preparatory White Paper for Climate and Water Policy Meeting, Skamania, Washington, July 2001. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 16 pp.

Preparing for climate change in the Pacific Northwest: A discussion of water resources adaptation pathways

Hamlet, A.F. 2001. Preparing for climate change in the Pacific Northwest: A discussion of water resources adaptation pathways. Preparatory White Paper for Climate and Water Policy Meeting, Skamania, Washington, July 2001. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle. 14 pp.

Overview of Columbia basin long-lead streamflow forecasts

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2001. Overview of Columbia basin long-lead streamflow forecasts. Conference proceedings paper for the American Water Resources Association, October 1999.

Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., and A.F. Hamlet. 2001. Anthropogenic climate change and snow in the Pacific Northwest. In K. Elder (ed.), Proceedings of the Western Snow Conference, April 16-19, 2001, Sun Valley, Idaho, pp. 51-52, Portland, OR: Western Snow Conference.

Hydrologic vulnerability of global rivers to climate change

Nijssen, B., G.M. O'Donnell, A.F. Hamlet, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2001. Hydrologic vulnerability of global rivers to climate change. Climatic Change 50(1):143-175.

Projected climate change implications for Western U.S. water resources management

VanRheenen, N.T., R.N. Palmer, D.P. Lettenmaier, J.T. Payne, A.F. Hamlet, and A.W. Wood. 2001. Projected climate change implications for Western U.S. water resources management. In Proceedings of the 2001 American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting, Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union.

Climate change impacts on water supply system management in central California

VanRheenen, N.T., R.N. Palmer, A.W. Wood, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2001. Climate change impacts on water supply system management in central California. In Proceedings of the 2001 American Water Resources Association Annual Water Resources Conference, Middleburg, Virginia: American Water Resources Association.

The effects of climate change on water management strategies and demands in the Central Valley of California

VanRheenen, N.T., A.W. Wood, R.N. Palmer, J.T. Payne, and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2001. The effects of climate change on water management strategies and demands in the Central Valley of California. In Bridging the Gap: Meeting the World's Water and Environmental Resources Challenges, Proceedings of the World Water and Environmental Resources Congress May 20-24, 2001, Orlando, Florida, Reston, VA: American Society of Civil Engineers.

2000

Climate change and resource management in the Columbia River Basin

Cohen, S.J., K. Miller, A.F. Hamlet, and W. Avis. 2000. Climate change and resource management in the Columbia River Basin. Water International 25(2): 253-272.

Long-range climate forecasting and its use for water management in the Pacific Northwest region of North America

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 2000. Long-range climate forecasting and its use for water management in the Pacific Northwest region of North America. Journal of Hydroinformatics 2(3):163-182.

Pacific Northwest regional assessment: The impacts of climate variability and climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River Basin

Miles, E.L., A.K. Snover, A.F. Hamlet, B.M. Callahan, and D.L. Fluharty. 2000. Pacific Northwest regional assessment: The impacts of climate variability and climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 36(2):399-420.

1999

Policy implications of climate forecasts for water resources management in the Pacific Northwest

Callahan, B.M., E.L. Miles, and D.L. Fluharty. 1999. Policy implications of climate forecasts for water resources management in the Pacific Northwest. Policy Sciences 32:269-293.

The impacts of drought on Yakima Valley irrigated agriculture and Seattle municipal and industrial water supply

Gray, K.N. 1999. The impacts of drought on Yakima Valley irrigated agriculture and Seattle municipal and industrial water supply. MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

Climate variability and flood events in Pacific Northwest rivers

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 1999. Climate variability and flood events in Pacific Northwest rivers. Unpublished paper. Climate Impacts Group, University of Washington, Seattle.

Columbia River streamflow forecasting based on ENSO and PDO climate signals

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 1999. Columbia River streamflow forecasting based on ENSO and PDO climate signals. ASCE Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management 125(6):333-341.

Effects of climate change on hydrology and water resources in the Columbia River Basin

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 1999. Effects of climate change on hydrology and water resources in the Columbia River Basin. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 35(6):1597-1623.

Overview of Columbia basin long-lead streamflow forecasts

Hamlet, A.F., and D.P. Lettenmaier. 1999. Overview of Columbia basin long-lead streamflow forecasts. Conference proceedings paper for the American Water Resources Association, October 1999.

Simulations of the ENSO hydroclimate signals in the Pacific Northwest Columbia River Basin

Leung, L.R., A.F. Hamlet, D.P. Lettenmaier, and A. Kumar. 1999. Simulations of the ENSO hydroclimate signals in the Pacific Northwest Columbia River Basin. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 80(11):2313-2329.

Pacific Northwest regional assessment: The impacts of climate variability and climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River Basin

Miles, E.L., A.K. Snover, A.F. Hamlet, B.M. Callahan, and D.L. Fluharty. 1999. Pacific Northwest regional assessment: The impacts of climate variability and climate change on the water resources of the Columbia River Basin. Paper prepared for the American Water Resources Association Specialty Conference on the Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change to Water Resources of the United States, Atlanta, Georgia, May 10-12, 1999.

1998

Potential consequences of global warming for the Northwestern US: Water resources and marine ecosystems

Mantua, N.J. 1998. Potential consequences of global warming for the Northwestern US: Water resources and marine ecosystems. Extended abstract for a joint lecture with Professor Dennis Lettenmaier for the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP), May 19, 1998.

1997

The potential of climate forecasts for water resource management in the Columbia River basin

Callahan, B.M. 1997. The potential of climate forecasts for water resource management in the Columbia River basin. MMA thesis, School of Marine Affairs, University of Washington, Seattle.

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Publications

Topic View: Hydrology and Water Resources

In press

Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Mandates vs. markets: Addressing over-allocation of Pacific Northwest river basins

Real-time precipitation estimation based on index station percentiles

In review

State drought programs: Lessons and recommendations from the western U.S.

Climate, water cycles, and water resources management in the Pacific Northwest

Effects of changing 20th century precipitation variability on annual streamflow and regional hydropower resources in the Western U.S.

Development of flood rule curves for the Columbia River Basin conditioned on ENSO classification

Water markets at work: An Idaho model

System optimization using streamflow forecasts during droughts

After Kyoto: Which way forward?

2009

Implications of global climate change for snowmelt hydrology in the 21st century

The response of Northern Hemisphere snow cover to a changing climate

Assessing the impacts of global warming on snowpack in the Washington Cascades

Assessing vulnerability to natural hazards: An impact-based method and application to drought in Washington State

Detection and attribution of streamflow timing change in the Western United States

Reconciling projections of Colorado River streamflow

Impacts of climate change on key aspects of freshwater salmon habitat in Washington State

Climate model based consensus on the hydrologic impacts of climate change to the Rio Lempa basin of Central America

Implications of 21st century climate change for the hydrology of Washington State

A transactions cost approach to the theoretical foundations of water markets

Climate change impacts on water management and irrigated agriculture in the Yakima River Basin, Washington, USA

Climate change impacts on water management in the Puget Sound region, Washington, USA

2008

Human-induced changes in the hydrology of the western United States

Detection and attribution of temperature changes in the mountainous western United States

The Effects of Climate Change on Agriculture, Land Resources, Water Resources, and Biodiversity

Glestcherschwund am Kilimanjaro

Stationarity is dead: Whither water management?

Sensitivity of Northwest ski areas to warming

Variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Has spring snowpack declined in the Washington Cascades?

Extended west-wide seasonal hydrological system: Seasonal hydrological prediction in the NAMS Region

Wild and scenic rivers

Attribution of declining western U.S. snowpack to human effects

How essential is hydrologic model calibration to seasonal streamflow forecasting?

Use of a standardized runoff index for characterizing hydrologic drought

Evaluation of precipitation products for global hydrological prediction

The University of Washington Surface Water Monitor: An experimental platform for national hydrologic assessment and prediction.

An ensemble approach for attribution of hydrologic prediction uncertainty

Correcting errors in streamflow forecast ensemble mean and spread

2007

Technical Memorandum #7: Impacts of Climate Change on Cloud Cover in the Puget Sound Region

Technical Memorandum #8: Impacts of Climate Change on Groundwater Resources- A Literature Review

Technical Memorandum #1: Literature Review of Research Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Projected impacts of climate change on salmon habitat restoration

Effects of 20th century warming and climate variability on flood risk in the western U.S.

20th century trends in runoff, evapotranspiration, and soil moisture in the Western U.S

The shrinking glaciers of Kilimanjaro: Can global warming be blamed?

Technical Memorandum #3: Online Database Functionality and Design for Climate Impacted Data

Final Report of the Climate Change Technical Committee

Technical Memorandum #6: Framework for Incorporating Climate Change into Water Resources Planning

Technical Memorandum #4: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Meteorological Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Technical Memorandum #5: Approach for Developing Climate Impacted Streamflow Data and its Quality Assurance/Quality Control

Technical Memorandum #2: Methodology for Downscaling Meteorological Data for Evaluating Climate Change

Water, adaptation, and property rights on the Snake and Klamath Rivers

Assessing regional vulnerability by operationalizing the concept adaptive capacity in the Pacific Northwest

2006

Trends in 20th century drought over the continental United States

Hydrologic implications of 20th century warming and climate variability in the western U.S

Optimized flood control in the Columbia River Basin for a global warming scenario

Use of satellite data for streamflow and reservoir storage forecasts in the Snake River Basin, ID

Climate-driven variability and trends in mountain snowpack in western North America

Energy-relevant Impacts of Climate Change in the Pacific Northwest

Climate Change Building Blocks

Using climate forecasts for drought water management

Developing multiple indicators and triggers for drought plans

USACE foundation study on climate variability planning and adaptation

The role of climate forecasts in western U.S. power planning

Integrating climate impacts in water resource planning and management