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McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. (In press). Global warming and stress complexes in forests of western North America. To appear in A. Bytnerowicz, M. Arbaugh, C. Anderson, and A. Riebau (eds.), Forest Fires and Air Pollution Issues. Amsterdam, The Netherlands: Elsevier Science, Ltd.

Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire

McKenzie, D., C.L. Raymond, and S.C. Cushman. (In press). Modeling understory vegetation and its response to fire. To appear in J. Millspaugh and F.R. Thompson III, Models for Planning Wildlife Conservation in Large Landscapes.

In review

Climate variability, climate change, and forest ecosystems in the Pacific Northwest

Keeton, W.S., J.F. Franklin, and P.W. Mote. (In review). Climate variability, climate change, and forest ecosystems in the Pacific Northwest. Chapter 8 in A. K. Snover, E.L. Miles, and the Climate Impacts Group, Rhythms of Change: An Integrated Assessment of Climate Impacts on the Pacific Northwest, Cambridge, Massachusetts: MIT Press.

Holocene fire history in the North Cascade Range, Washington

Prichard, S.J., Z.M. Gedalof, and D.L. Peterson. (In review). Holocene fire history in the North Cascade Range, Washington. Submitted to The Holocene.

2008

Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900)

Heyerdahl, E.K., D. McKenzie, L. Daniels, A.E. Hessl, J.S. Littell, and N.J. Mantua. 2008. Climate drivers of regionally synchronous fires in the inland Northwest (1651-1900). International Journal of Wildland Fire 17:40-49.

National forests

Joyce, L.A., G.M. Blate, J.S. Littell, S.G. McNulty, C.I. Millar, S.C. Moser, and R.P. Neilson. 2008. National forests. Chapter 3 in S.H. Julius, J.M. West (eds.), J.S. Baron, B.Griffith, L.A. Joyce, P. Kareiva, B.D. Keller, M.A. Palmer, C.H. Peterson, and J.M. Scott (Authors), Preliminary Review of Adaptation Options for Climate-Sensitive Ecosystems and Resources. A Report by the U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC, USA, pp. 3-1 to 3-127.

Douglas-fir growth-climate relationships along biophysical gradients in mountain protected areas of the northwestern U.S.

Littell, J.S., D.L. Peterson, and M. Tjoelker. 2008. Douglas-fir growth-climate relationships along biophysical gradients in mountain protected areas of the northwestern U.S.. Ecological Monographs 78(3): 349–368.

2007

Growth-climate relations of Lodgepole Pine in the North Cascades National Park, Washington

Case, M.J., and D.L. Peterson. 2007. Growth-climate relations of Lodgepole Pine in the North Cascades National Park, Washington. Northwest Science 81(1):62-75.

Research Agenda for Integrated Landscape Modeling

Cushman, S.C., D. McKenzie, D.L. Peterson, J.S. Littell, and K.S. McKelvey. 2007. Research Agenda for Integrated Landscape Modeling. General Technical Report RMRS-GTR-194. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.

Cross-scale analysis of fire regimes

Falk, D.A., C.M. Miller, D. McKenzie, and A.E. Black. 2007. Cross-scale analysis of fire regimes. Ecosystems 10(5): 809-823, doi 10.1007/s10021-007-9070-7.

Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface

Keeton, W.S., P.W. Mote, and J.F. Franklin. 2007. Climate variability, climate change, and western wildfire with implications for the urban-wildland interface. pp. 225-253. In A. Troy and R. Kennedy (eds)., Living on the Edge: Economic, Institutional and Management Perspectives on Wildfire Hazard in the Urban Interface. Advances in the Economics of Environmental Resources , Vol. 6. Oxford, United Kingdom: Elsevier Sciences JAI Press.

Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA.

Kellogg, L-K.B., D. McKenzie, D.L. Peterson, and A.E. Hessl. 2007. Spatial models for inferring topographic controls on low-severity fire in the eastern Cascade Range of Washington, USA.. Landscape Ecology 23(2):227-240, DOI 10.1007/s10980-007-9188-1.

Climate change and disturbance regimes in western North America

McKenzie, D., and C.D. Allen. 2007. Climate change and disturbance regimes in western North America. EOS Transactions 88(21): 227.

Mapping fuels at multiple scales: Landscape application of the Fuel Characteristic Classification System

McKenzie, D., C.L. Raymond, J.P. Kellogg, R.A. Norheim, A.G. Andreu, A.C. Bayard, K.E. Kopper, and E Elman. 2007. Mapping fuels at multiple scales: Landscape application of the Fuel Characteristic Classification System. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 37: 2421-2437, doi:10.1139/X07-056.

2006

Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity to climatic variability

Holman, M.L., and D.L. Peterson. 2006. Spatial and temporal variability in forest growth in the Olympic Mountains, Washington: Sensitivity to climatic variability. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:92-104.

Climate impacts to forest ecosystem processes: Douglas-fir growth in northwestern U.S. mountain landscapes and area burned by wildfire in western U.S. ecoprovinces

Littell, J.S. 2006. Climate impacts to forest ecosystem processes: Douglas-fir growth in northwestern U.S. mountain landscapes and area burned by wildfire in western U.S. ecoprovinces. Ph.D. dissertation, University of Washington, Seattle.

How will climatic change affect air quality in parks and wilderness?

McKenzie, D., S. O'Neill, N. Larkin, and R.A. Norheim. 2006. How will climatic change affect air quality in parks and wilderness?. In D. Harmon (ed.), Proceedings of the George Wright Society Annual Meeting Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: The George Wright Society.

Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire

McKenzie, D., S. O'Neill, N. Larkin, and R.A. Norheim. 2006. Integrating models to predict regional haze from wildland fire. Ecological Modelling 199:278-288.

Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA

McKenzie, D., S. O'Neill, N. Larkin, and R.A. Norheim. 2006. Simulating regional haze from wildland fire emissions in the western USA. pages 128-129. In M. Price (ed.), Global Change in Mountain Regions, Sapiens Publishing, Duncow, UK.

Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington

Nakawatase, J.M., and D.L. Peterson. 2006. Spatial variability in forest growth – climate relationships in the Olympic Mountains, Washington. Canadian Journal of Forest Resources 36:77-91.

Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative.

Stephenson, N., D.L. Peterson, D. Fagre, C.D. Allen, D. McKenzie, J.S. Baron, and K. O'Brian. 2006. Response of western mountain ecosystems to climatic variability and change: the Western Mountain Initiative.. Park Science 24:24-29.

Estimating emissions from fires in North America for air quality modeling

Wiedinmyer, C., B. Quayle, C. Geron, A. Belote, D. McKenzie, X. Zhang, S. O'Neill, and K.K. Wynne. 2006. Estimating emissions from fires in North America for air quality modeling. Atmospheric Environment 40(19):3419-3432.

2005

Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications

Burkett, V.R., D.A. Wilcox, R. Stottlemyer, W. Barrow, D. Fagre, J.S. Baron, J. Price, J.L. Nielsen, C.D. Allen, D.L. Peterson, G. Ruggerone, and T. Doyle. 2005. Nonlinear dynamics in ecosystem response to climatic change: Case studies and policy implications. Ecological Complexity 2:357–394.

Fine-scale variability in growth-climate relationships of Douglas-fir, North Cascade Range, Washington

Case, M.J., and D.L. Peterson. 2005. Fine-scale variability in growth-climate relationships of Douglas-fir, North Cascade Range, Washington. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 35: 2743-2755.

Regeneration and understory response to harvest in subalpine forests of the North Cascade Range, Washington

Elman, E, and D.L. Peterson. 2005. Regeneration and understory response to harvest in subalpine forests of the North Cascade Range, Washington. Journal of Ecosystems and Management 6(1): 33-50.

Atmospheric, climatic and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States

Gedalof, Z.M., D.L. Peterson, and N.J. Mantua. 2005. Atmospheric, climatic and ecological controls on extreme wildfire years in the northwestern United States. Ecological Applications 15(1):154-174.

"Forestry Breakout Session"

Kay, J.E., J.H. Casola, and A.K. Snover. 2005. "Forestry Breakout Session". Fact sheet prepared for King County (Washington)'s October 27, 2005 climate change conference "The Future Ain't What It Used to Be: Preparing for Climate Disruption". Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

A method for estimating vulnerability of Douglas-fir growth to climate change in the northwestern U.S.

Littell, J.S., and D.L. Peterson. 2005. A method for estimating vulnerability of Douglas-fir growth to climate change in the northwestern U.S.. Forestry Chronicle 81(3):369-374.

Wildfire in the West: A look into a greenhouse world

McKenzie, D., and D.L. Peterson. 2005. Wildfire in the West: A look into a greenhouse world. pp. 8-12. In Watershed Management Council Networker, University of Idaho, Boise, ID.

Effects of a warmer climate on stress complexes in forest of western North America.

McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.S. Littell. 2005. Effects of a warmer climate on stress complexes in forest of western North America.. EOS Trans. AGU 86(52); Fall Meet. Suppl., Abstract GC32A.

2004

"Forest Biodiversity"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Forest Biodiversity". Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Forest Change"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Forest Change". Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Forest Fire and Climate"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Forest Fire and Climate". Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Forest Growth and Climate Change"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Forest Growth and Climate Change". Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Forests and Climate Fact Sheet Series". Fact sheets prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

"Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production"

Climate Impacts Group 2004. "Impacts of Climate Change on PNW Timber Production". Fact sheet prepared by the Climate Impacts Group, Center for Science in the Earth System, Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle.

Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest

Hessl, A.E., D. McKenzie, and R. Schellhaas. 2004. Drought and Pacific Decadal Oscillation linked to fire occurrence in the inland Pacific Northwest. Ecological Applications 14(2): 425-442.

Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees

Hessl, A.E., C Milesi, D.L. Peterson, M. White, and R.E. Keane. 2004. Ecophysiological parameters for Pacific Northwest trees. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report PNW-GTR-618, Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, Oregon.

Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation

McKenzie, D., Z.M. Gedalof, D.L. Peterson, and P.W. Mote. 2004. Climatic change, wildfire, and conservation. Conservation Biology 18(4):890-902.

Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management

McKenzie, D., A.E. Hessl, D.L. Peterson, J.K. Agee, J.F. Lehmkuhl, L-K.B. Kellogg, and J. Kernan. 2004. Fire and Climatic Variability in the Inland Pacific Northwest: Integrating Science and Management. Final report to the Joint Fire Science Program on Project #01-1-6-01, U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 44 pp.

Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations

McKenzie, D., S.J. Prichard, A.E. Hessl, and D.L. Peterson. 2004. Empirical approaches to modeling wildland fire in the Pacific Northwest: Methods and applications to landscape simulations. Chapter 7 in A.J. Perera and L. Buse (eds.), Emulating Natural Forest Landscape Disturbances New York, NY: Columbia University Press.

Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America

Peterson, D.L., and J.L. Innes. (Editors) 2004. Climatic Change, Carbon, and Forestry in Northwestern North America. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report GTR-PNW-614. Pacific Northwest Research Station, Portland, OR.

2003

Taking the pulse of mountains: Ecosystem responses to climatic variability

Fagre, D.B., D.L. Peterson, and A.E. Hessl. 2003. Taking the pulse of mountains: Ecosystem responses to climatic variability. Climatic Change 59: 263-282.

Climatic and biophysical controls on conifer species distributions in mountain forests of Washington state, USA

McKenzie, D., D.W. Peterson, D.L. Peterson, and P.E. Thornton. 2003. Climatic and biophysical controls on conifer species distributions in mountain forests of Washington state, USA. Journal of Biogeography 30:1093-1108.

Modelling conifer species distributions in mountain forests of the Pacific Northwest

McKenzie, D., D.W. Peterson, and D.L. Peterson. 2003. Modelling conifer species distributions in mountain forests of the Pacific Northwest. Forestry Chronicle 79:253-258.

Fuels planning: managing forest structure to reduce fire hazard

Peterson, D.L., J.K. Agee, T. Jain, M. Johnson, D. McKenzie, and E. Reinhardt. 2003. Fuels planning: managing forest structure to reduce fire hazard. Proceedings of the 2nd International Wildland Fire Ecology and Fire Management Congress Boston, Massachusetts: American Meteorological Society

Carbon storage and soil properties in late-successional and second-growth subalpine forests in the North Cascade Range, Washington

Sanscrainte, C.L., D.L. Peterson, and S.J. McKay. 2003. Carbon storage and soil properties in late-successional and second-growth subalpine forests in the North Cascade Range, Washington. Northwest Science 77(4):297-307.

Carbon storage in subalpine tree islands, North Cascade Range, Washington

Sanscrainte, C.L., D.L. Peterson, and S.J. McKay. 2003. Carbon storage in subalpine tree islands, North Cascade Range, Washington. Northwest Science 77(3):255-268.

Effects of forest policy on landscape pattern of late seral forest of the western Olympic Peninsula, Washington

Tyler, M.W., and D.L. Peterson. 2003. Effects of forest policy on landscape pattern of late seral forest of the western Olympic Peninsula, Washington. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 101:289-306

2002

Modeling and monitoring ecosystem responses to climate change in three North American mountain ranges

Fagre, D.B., and D.L. Peterson. 2002. Modeling and monitoring ecosystem responses to climate change in three North American mountain ranges. pages 249-259. In C. Körner and E. Spehn (eds.), Global Mountain Biodiversity: Changes and Threats. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.

Links between Pacific basin climatic variability and natural systems of the Pacific Northwest

Gedalof, Z.M. 2002. Links between Pacific basin climatic variability and natural systems of the Pacific Northwest. PhD dissertation, School of Forestry, University of Washington, Seattle.

Growth responses of subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) to climatic variability in the Pacific Northwest

Peterson, D.W., D.L. Peterson, and G.J. Ettl. 2002. Growth responses of subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) to climatic variability in the Pacific Northwest. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 32(9): 1503-1517.

2001

Space-time modeling of lightning-caused forest fires in the Blue Mountains, Oregon

Avalos, C.D., D.L. Peterson, E. Alvarado, and S.A. Ferguson. 2001. Space-time modeling of lightning-caused forest fires in the Blue Mountains, Oregon. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 31(9):1579-1593.

Genetic variation in subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) in the Olympic Mountains, Washington, USA: Differentiation in response to an elevation gradient

Ettl, G.J., and D.L. Peterson. 2001. Genetic variation in subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa) in the Olympic Mountains, Washington, USA: Differentiation in response to an elevation gradient. Silvae Genetica 50:145-253.

Dendroclimatic response of mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in Pacific North America.

Gedalof, Z.M., and D.J. Smith. 2001. Dendroclimatic response of mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana) in Pacific North America.. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 31(2):322-332.

Interdecadal climate variability and regime-scale shifts in Pacific North America

Gedalof, Z.M., and D.J. Smith. 2001. Interdecadal climate variability and regime-scale shifts in Pacific North America. Geophysical Research Letters 28:1515-1518.

Recent growth in conifer species of western North America: assessing spatial patterns of radial growth trends

McKenzie, D., A.E. Hessl, and D.L. Peterson. 2001. Recent growth in conifer species of western North America: assessing spatial patterns of radial growth trends. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 31:526-538.

From open to closed canopy: a century of change in a Douglas-fir forest, Orcas Island, Washington

Peterson, D.L., and R.D. Hammer. 2001. From open to closed canopy: a century of change in a Douglas-fir forest, Orcas Island, Washington. Northwest Science 75:262-269.

Mountain hemlock growth responds to climatic variability at annual and decadal scales

Peterson, D.W., and D.L. Peterson. 2001. Mountain hemlock growth responds to climatic variability at annual and decadal scales. Ecology 82(12):3330-3345.

Genetic and morphologic variation in Phyllodoce empetriformis and P. glanduliflora (Ericaceae) in Mount Rainier National Park, Washington

Rochefort, R.M., and D.L. Peterson. 2001. Genetic and morphologic variation in Phyllodoce empetriformis and P. glanduliflora (Ericaceae) in Mount Rainier National Park, Washington. Canadian Journal of Botany 79:179-191.

2000

Ecosystem dynamics and disturbance in mountain wildernesses: Assessing vulnerability of natural resources to change

Fagre, D.B., and D.L. Peterson. 2000. Ecosystem dynamics and disturbance in mountain wildernesses: Assessing vulnerability of natural resources to change. In D.N. Cole, S.F. McCool, W.T. Borrie, and J. O’Loughlin, Jennifer (comps.), Wilderness Science in a Time of Change Conference - Volume 3: Wilderness as a Place for Scientific Inquiry, May 23–27, 1999, Missoula, MT, USDA Forest Service Proceedings RMRS-P-15-VOL-3, p. 74-81, Ogden, Utah: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station.

Climate variability and forest fires in the Pacific Northwest

Keeton, W.S., and J.F. Franklin. 2000. Climate variability and forest fires in the Pacific Northwest. Accepted for Proceedings of the Ecological Society of America, 85th Annual Conference, August, Sun Bird, Utah.

Fire frequency in the Columbia River Basin: Building regional models from fire history data

McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.K. Agee. 2000. Fire frequency in the Columbia River Basin: Building regional models from fire history data. Ecological Applications 10(5):1497-1516.

Spatial variation in fire frequency in the Interior Columbia River Basin

McKenzie, D., D.L. Peterson, and J.K. Agee. 2000. Spatial variation in fire frequency in the Interior Columbia River Basin. pp. 257-263. In L. F. Neuenschwander and K. C. Ryan (eds) Proceedings of the 1999 Joint Fire Science Conference and Workshop. Moscow, Idaho: University of Idaho.

Monitoring air quality in mountains: designing an effective network

Peterson, D.L. 2000. Monitoring air quality in mountains: designing an effective network. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment 64:81-91.

Disturbance in mountain forests

Peterson, D.L., S.J. Prichard, and D. McKenzie. 2000. Disturbance in mountain forests. pp. 51-58. In M.F. Price and N. Butt (eds.), Forests in Sustainable Mountain Development. Wallingford, United Kingdom: CABI Publishing.

Research and management issues in large-scale fire modeling

Peterson, D.L., and D.L. Schmoldt. 2000. Research and management issues in large-scale fire modeling. In H. Salminen, J. Saarikko, and W. Virtanen, (eds.), Proceedings Resource Technology '98 Nordic, Research Paper 791, Vantaa, Finland:Finnish Forest Research Institute.

Carbon distribution in subalpine forests and meadows of the Olympic Mountains, Washington

Prichard, S.J., D.L. Peterson, and R.D. Hammer. 2000. Carbon distribution in subalpine forests and meadows of the Olympic Mountains, Washington. Soil Science Society of America Journal 64(5):1834-1845.

Analytical group decision making in natural resources: methodology and application

Schmoldt, D.L., and D.L. Peterson. 2000. Analytical group decision making in natural resources: methodology and application. Forest Science 46:62-75.

1999

Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest

Mote, P.W., W.S. Keeton, and J.F. Franklin. 1999. Decadal variations in forest fire activity in the Pacific Northwest. In Proceedings of the 11th Conference on Applied Climatology, pp. 155-156, American Meteorological Society, Boston, MA.

Response of high-elevation forests in the Olympic Mountains to climatic change

Zolbrod, A.N., and D.L. Peterson. 1999. Response of high-elevation forests in the Olympic Mountains to climatic change. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 29:1966-1978.